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FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner

Debbie Wasserman Schultz 65%

Rudy Moise 40.0%

Elijah Manley 28%

Dale Holness 9.4%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Debbie Wasserman Schultz 65%

Rudy Moise 40.0%

Elijah Manley 28%

Dale Holness 9.4%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Debbie Wasserman Schultz

$157 Vol.

52%

Rudy Moise

$855 Vol.

40%

Elijah Manley

$2,194 Vol.

31%

Dale Holness

$1,654 Vol.

9%

Maisha Williams

$308 Vol.

5%

Luther Campbell

$273 Vol.

4%

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick

$785 Vol.

2%

Mark Douglas

$283 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Debbie Wasserman Schultz leads the August 18 Democratic primary for Florida’s 20th Congressional District at 56.5% in trader pricing due to her substantial name recognition, fundraising edge of more than $2.5 million, and a recent internal poll showing her at 52% support. Mid-decade redistricting shifted her previous seat, prompting her May entry into the plurality-Black district left vacant by Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick’s April resignation amid ethics and legal matters. Elijah Manley trails at 30% amid efforts by Black candidates, including Manley, Dale Holness, and Luther Campbell, to consolidate support and counter the perceived threat to historic representation. Other contenders such as Rudy Moise and Maisha Williams remain below 30%, reflecting limited visibility and resources in a race where the primary winner is expected to prevail in November.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$6,510
Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Debbie Wasserman Schultz leads the August 18 Democratic primary for Florida’s 20th Congressional District at 56.5% in trader pricing due to her substantial name recognition, fundraising edge of more than $2.5 million, and a recent internal poll showing her at 52% support. Mid-decade redistricting shifted her previous seat, prompting her May entry into the plurality-Black district left vacant by Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick’s April resignation amid ethics and legal matters. Elijah Manley trails at 30% amid efforts by Black candidates, including Manley, Dale Holness, and Luther Campbell, to consolidate support and counter the perceived threat to historic representation. Other contenders such as Rudy Moise and Maisha Williams remain below 30%, reflecting limited visibility and resources in a race where the primary winner is expected to prevail in November.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$6,510
Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Debbie Wasserman Schultz" con 53%, seguido de "Rudy Moise" con 40%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 53¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 53% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 22, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" es "Debbie Wasserman Schultz" con 53%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 53% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Rudy Moise" con 40%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.