Trader sentiment on the GPT-5.5 release market reflects OpenAI's accelerated cadence of monthly frontier large language model updates—GPT-5.4 rolled out in early April with enhanced reasoning and Codex integration—fueling optimism for an imminent drop amid leaks of "Spud" pretraining completion in late March. April 16 leads at 43.5% implied probability, closely trailed by no release by April 30 (36.5%) and today (35%), signaling uncertainty over exact timing despite competitive pressure from Anthropic's Mythos and xAI's Grok advancements. A new $100/month ChatGPT Pro tier announced April 9 boosts developer access, but resolution hinges on official confirmation, with Friday launches a historical precedent; watch for weekend announcements or benchmark previews to swing odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoApril 16 39%
No release by April 30 33%
April 30 12%
April 12 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 abr 2026
April 10
1%
April 11
8%
April 12
11%
April 13
11%
April 14
11%
April 15
11%
April 16
39%
April 17
9%
April 18
11%
April 19
11%
April 20
11%
April 21
11%
April 22
11%
April 23
10%
April 24
11%
April 25
10%
April 26
11%
April 27
9%
April 28
11%
April 29
11%
April 30
12%
No release by April 30
33%
April 16 39%
No release by April 30 33%
April 30 12%
April 12 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 abr 2026
April 10
$26 Vol.
1%
April 11
$32 Vol.
8%
April 12
$0 Vol.
11%
April 13
$0 Vol.
11%
April 14
$5 Vol.
11%
April 15
$0 Vol.
11%
April 16
$0 Vol.
39%
April 17
$0 Vol.
9%
April 18
$0 Vol.
11%
April 19
$0 Vol.
11%
April 20
$0 Vol.
11%
April 21
$0 Vol.
11%
April 22
$0 Vol.
11%
April 23
$0 Vol.
10%
April 24
$0 Vol.
11%
April 25
$0 Vol.
10%
April 26
$0 Vol.
11%
April 27
$0 Vol.
9%
April 28
$0 Vol.
11%
April 29
$0 Vol.
11%
April 30
$0 Vol.
12%
No release by April 30
$101 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment on the GPT-5.5 release market reflects OpenAI's accelerated cadence of monthly frontier large language model updates—GPT-5.4 rolled out in early April with enhanced reasoning and Codex integration—fueling optimism for an imminent drop amid leaks of "Spud" pretraining completion in late March. April 16 leads at 43.5% implied probability, closely trailed by no release by April 30 (36.5%) and today (35%), signaling uncertainty over exact timing despite competitive pressure from Anthropic's Mythos and xAI's Grok advancements. A new $100/month ChatGPT Pro tier announced April 9 boosts developer access, but resolution hinges on official confirmation, with Friday launches a historical precedent; watch for weekend announcements or benchmark previews to swing odds.
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ET
Volumen
$2,297Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Trader sentiment on the GPT-5.5 release market reflects OpenAI's accelerated cadence of monthly frontier large language model updates—GPT-5.4 rolled out in early April with enhanced reasoning and Codex integration—fueling optimism for an imminent drop amid leaks of "Spud" pretraining completion in late March. April 16 leads at 43.5% implied probability, closely trailed by no release by April 30 (36.5%) and today (35%), signaling uncertainty over exact timing despite competitive pressure from Anthropic's Mythos and xAI's Grok advancements. A new $100/month ChatGPT Pro tier announced April 9 boosts developer access, but resolution hinges on official confirmation, with Friday launches a historical precedent; watch for weekend announcements or benchmark previews to swing odds.
This market will resolve according to the date on which OpenAI's GPT-5.5 model is made available to the general public (ET).
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
GPT-5.5 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-5.5, or a variant that is recognized as a direct successor to GPT-5.4, similar to the progression from GPT-5.1 to GPT-5.2. (e.g., GPT-5.6, GPT-5.7, etc., would qualify toward a "Yes" resolution to this market)
Qualifying releases of task-specialized models (e.g., GPT-Codex/Transcribe), cost-efficiency variants (e.g., Nano/Mini), or reasoning models of the o-series family will count for this market. Products labeled as a new flagship generation GPT-6 or similar will NOT qualify.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," a qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$2,297Fecha de finalización
30 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 5:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on the GPT-5.5 release market reflects OpenAI's accelerated cadence of monthly frontier large language model updates—GPT-5.4 rolled out in early April with enhanced reasoning and Codex integration—fueling optimism for an imminent drop amid leaks of "Spud" pretraining completion in late March. April 16 leads at 43.5% implied probability, closely trailed by no release by April 30 (36.5%) and today (35%), signaling uncertainty over exact timing despite competitive pressure from Anthropic's Mythos and xAI's Grok advancements. A new $100/month ChatGPT Pro tier announced April 9 boosts developer access, but resolution hinges on official confirmation, with Friday launches a historical precedent; watch for weekend announcements or benchmark previews to swing odds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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