Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service converge on daytime highs of 29–31°C for Ankara on July 9, reflecting a cooling trend after early-July peaks above 30°C driven by a weak upper-level trough and northerly flow. This keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered around those outcomes, with traders monitoring potential model revisions on steering patterns, boundary-layer mixing, and clear-sky solar heating. Historical July averages near 29–30°C provide context, while short-range uncertainty in trough timing and local urban effects could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ankara el 9 de julio?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ankara el 9 de julio?
31°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$44,867 Vol.
$44,867 Vol.
9 jul 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$44,867 Vol.
$44,867 Vol.
9 jul 2026
28°C or below
$2,090 Vol.
No
29°C
$5,820 Vol.
No
30°C
$6,780 Vol.
No
31°C
$8,045 Vol.
Yes
32°C
$7,914 Vol.
No
33°C
$5,315 Vol.
No
34°C
$2,522 Vol.
No
35°C
$1,716 Vol.
No
36°C
$1,535 Vol.
No
37°C
$1,565 Vol.
No
38°C or higher
$1,565 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service converge on daytime highs of 29–31°C for Ankara on July 9, reflecting a cooling trend after early-July peaks above 30°C driven by a weak upper-level trough and northerly flow. This keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered around those outcomes, with traders monitoring potential model revisions on steering patterns, boundary-layer mixing, and clear-sky solar heating. Historical July averages near 29–30°C provide context, while short-range uncertainty in trough timing and local urban effects could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$44,867Fecha de finalización
9 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service converge on daytime highs of 29–31°C for Ankara on July 9, reflecting a cooling trend after early-July peaks above 30°C driven by a weak upper-level trough and northerly flow. This keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered around those outcomes, with traders monitoring potential model revisions on steering patterns, boundary-layer mixing, and clear-sky solar heating. Historical July averages near 29–30°C provide context, while short-range uncertainty in trough timing and local urban effects could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$44,867Fecha de finalización
9 jul 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service converge on daytime highs of 29–31°C for Ankara on July 9, reflecting a cooling trend after early-July peaks above 30°C driven by a weak upper-level trough and northerly flow. This keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered around those outcomes, with traders monitoring potential model revisions on steering patterns, boundary-layer mixing, and clear-sky solar heating. Historical July averages near 29–30°C provide context, while short-range uncertainty in trough timing and local urban effects could shift the exact maximum by 1–2°C before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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