Current ensemble forecasts from global models and Turkey's Meteorological Service point to a mostly sunny day with light northeasterly winds and high pressure, supporting a maximum near 23°C in Ankara on September 26. Recent cooling from mid-September peaks has stabilized temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s, consistent with climatological norms for late autumn transition. Subtle model differences in afternoon cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing explain the tight clustering around 22–24°C outcomes, while stronger subsidence or clearer skies could push toward the upper end. Updated runs expected from ECMWF and GFS overnight, plus the official daily bulletin, will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ankara el 26 de septiembre?
23°C 30%
22°C 28%
24°C 25%
21°C 21%
18°C o menos
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
7%
21°C
21%
22°C
28%
23°C
30%
24°C
25%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C o más
1%
23°C 30%
22°C 28%
24°C 25%
21°C 21%
18°C o menos
3%
19°C
4%
20°C
7%
21°C
21%
22°C
28%
23°C
30%
24°C
25%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C o más
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47de9d...Current ensemble forecasts from global models and Turkey's Meteorological Service point to a mostly sunny day with light northeasterly winds and high pressure, supporting a maximum near 23°C in Ankara on September 26. Recent cooling from mid-September peaks has stabilized temperatures in the low-to-mid 20s, consistent with climatological norms for late autumn transition. Subtle model differences in afternoon cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing explain the tight clustering around 22–24°C outcomes, while stronger subsidence or clearer skies could push toward the upper end. Updated runs expected from ECMWF and GFS overnight, plus the official daily bulletin, will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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