Current numerical weather models for Ankara on September 26 point to overnight lows of 8–11°C under high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light northeasterly winds that enhance radiative cooling after daytime highs near 22–25°C. The near-even split between sub-5°C and 15°C+ outcomes, alongside clustered probabilities around 9–12°C, reflects uncertainty in boundary-layer details such as exact cloud timing and dew-point depression, which can alter minimum temperatures by several degrees. These conditions align with late-September climatology for the region, where clear nights routinely produce 8–12°C lows. Traders appear to weigh the risk of forecast shifts from incoming model runs against the low probability of anomalous cold advection or persistent cloud cover that would push extremes. Official Turkish Meteorological Service updates and refined ensemble guidance in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Ankara el 26 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Ankara el 26 de septiembre?
9°C 89%
11°C 89%
12°C 89%
6°C 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 sep 2026
5°C o menos
<1%
6°C
40%
7°C
40%
8°C
40%
9°C
89%
10°C
20%
11°C
89%
12°C
89%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C o más
<1%
9°C 89%
11°C 89%
12°C 89%
6°C 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
26 sep 2026
5°C o menos
$0 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$0 Vol.
40%
7°C
$0 Vol.
40%
8°C
$0 Vol.
40%
9°C
$0 Vol.
89%
10°C
$5 Vol.
20%
11°C
$0 Vol.
89%
12°C
$0 Vol.
89%
13°C
$0 Vol.
40%
14°C
$0 Vol.
40%
15°C o más
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models for Ankara on September 26 point to overnight lows of 8–11°C under high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light northeasterly winds that enhance radiative cooling after daytime highs near 22–25°C. The near-even split between sub-5°C and 15°C+ outcomes, alongside clustered probabilities around 9–12°C, reflects uncertainty in boundary-layer details such as exact cloud timing and dew-point depression, which can alter minimum temperatures by several degrees. These conditions align with late-September climatology for the region, where clear nights routinely produce 8–12°C lows. Traders appear to weigh the risk of forecast shifts from incoming model runs against the low probability of anomalous cold advection or persistent cloud cover that would push extremes. Official Turkish Meteorological Service updates and refined ensemble guidance in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$5Fecha de finalización
26 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather models for Ankara on September 26 point to overnight lows of 8–11°C under high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light northeasterly winds that enhance radiative cooling after daytime highs near 22–25°C. The near-even split between sub-5°C and 15°C+ outcomes, alongside clustered probabilities around 9–12°C, reflects uncertainty in boundary-layer details such as exact cloud timing and dew-point depression, which can alter minimum temperatures by several degrees. These conditions align with late-September climatology for the region, where clear nights routinely produce 8–12°C lows. Traders appear to weigh the risk of forecast shifts from incoming model runs against the low probability of anomalous cold advection or persistent cloud cover that would push extremes. Official Turkish Meteorological Service updates and refined ensemble guidance in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5Fecha de finalización
26 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 24, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47de9d...Current numerical weather models for Ankara on September 26 point to overnight lows of 8–11°C under high pressure, clear to partly cloudy skies, and light northeasterly winds that enhance radiative cooling after daytime highs near 22–25°C. The near-even split between sub-5°C and 15°C+ outcomes, alongside clustered probabilities around 9–12°C, reflects uncertainty in boundary-layer details such as exact cloud timing and dew-point depression, which can alter minimum temperatures by several degrees. These conditions align with late-September climatology for the region, where clear nights routinely produce 8–12°C lows. Traders appear to weigh the risk of forecast shifts from incoming model runs against the low probability of anomalous cold advection or persistent cloud cover that would push extremes. Official Turkish Meteorological Service updates and refined ensemble guidance in the next 24–48 hours will likely tighten the range.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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