Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 7 reached 68-69°F, driving 100% market-implied probability for this outcome as traders locked in positions based on verified hourly data. A strong cold front moving through Central Texas introduced cooler northerly airflow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers, severely limiting solar heating and capping highs well below the May climatological average of 85°F—conditions echoed in pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus showing upper-60s peaks. This unusually cool late-spring pattern aligns with historical analogs of frontal passages disrupting typical southerly winds and subsidence. While data quality control rarely alters preliminary readings, a revised NWS climatological summary could theoretically shift minor details, though no such discrepancies are anticipated.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Austin on May 7?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 7?
68-69°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$88,711 Vol.
$88,711 Vol.
7 may 2026
65°F or below
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
Yes
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84°F or higher
No
68-69°F 100.0%
65°F or below <1%
66-67°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$88,711 Vol.
$88,711 Vol.
7 may 2026
65°F or below
$16,797 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$12,585 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$6,430 Vol.
Yes
70-71°F
$6,913 Vol.
No
72-73°F
$4,678 Vol.
No
74-75°F
$6,062 Vol.
No
76-77°F
$9,797 Vol.
No
78-79°F
$7,601 Vol.
No
80-81°F
$7,831 Vol.
No
82-83°F
$5,034 Vol.
No
84°F or higher
$4,983 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 7 reached 68-69°F, driving 100% market-implied probability for this outcome as traders locked in positions based on verified hourly data. A strong cold front moving through Central Texas introduced cooler northerly airflow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers, severely limiting solar heating and capping highs well below the May climatological average of 85°F—conditions echoed in pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus showing upper-60s peaks. This unusually cool late-spring pattern aligns with historical analogs of frontal passages disrupting typical southerly winds and subsidence. While data quality control rarely alters preliminary readings, a revised NWS climatological summary could theoretically shift minor details, though no such discrepancies are anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 5, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Volumen
$88,711Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:17 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 7 reached 68-69°F, driving 100% market-implied probability for this outcome as traders locked in positions based on verified hourly data. A strong cold front moving through Central Texas introduced cooler northerly airflow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers, severely limiting solar heating and capping highs well below the May climatological average of 85°F—conditions echoed in pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus showing upper-60s peaks. This unusually cool late-spring pattern aligns with historical analogs of frontal passages disrupting typical southerly winds and subsidence. While data quality control rarely alters preliminary readings, a revised NWS climatological summary could theoretically shift minor details, though no such discrepancies are anticipated.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$88,711Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:17 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Official observations from the National Weather Service at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 7 reached 68-69°F, driving 100% market-implied probability for this outcome as traders locked in positions based on verified hourly data. A strong cold front moving through Central Texas introduced cooler northerly airflow, extensive cloud cover, and scattered showers, severely limiting solar heating and capping highs well below the May climatological average of 85°F—conditions echoed in pre-event NOAA forecast model consensus showing upper-60s peaks. This unusually cool late-spring pattern aligns with historical analogs of frontal passages disrupting typical southerly winds and subsidence. While data quality control rarely alters preliminary readings, a revised NWS climatological summary could theoretically shift minor details, though no such discrepancies are anticipated.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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