Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate Seoul minimum temperatures on July 3 will likely fall between 21–23°C amid ongoing summer monsoon conditions and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity levels near 80% and variable cloud cover create uncertainty in the precise low, with clearer skies potentially allowing dips toward 20°C while persistent cloud or rain keeps readings closer to 23–24°C. Historical July averages for Seoul show morning lows near 22–23°C, providing a baseline that aligns with the market’s tight clustering around those outcomes. Model consensus points to modest day-to-day variability driven by steering patterns and local urban effects, keeping probabilities distributed across the 20–24°C range rather than favoring extremes. Updated KMA guidance and ensemble runs ahead of the date will refine these estimates.