Official observational data from China Meteorological Administration surface stations, including Beijing Capital International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm May 9's daily high temperature at around 18°C (64°F), driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 22°C or below. Morning readings in the mid-teens Celsius under variable cloud cover and a lingering cool air mass prevented daytime warming, diverging from historical May averages near 26°C amid recent frontal passages. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified measurements with minimal uncertainty, as daily highs rarely revise post-publication. A contrasting heat wave forecast for May 10, with highs nearing 32°C, highlights sharp meteorological shifts but cannot alter today's resolved outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Beijing on May 9?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 9?
22°C or below 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$120,799 Vol.
$120,799 Vol.
9 may 2026
22°C or below
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
22°C or below 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$120,799 Vol.
$120,799 Vol.
9 may 2026
22°C or below
$18,064 Vol.
Yes
23°C
$19,717 Vol.
No
24°C
$12,951 Vol.
No
25°C
$10,871 Vol.
No
26°C
$9,026 Vol.
No
27°C
$10,681 Vol.
No
28°C
$10,146 Vol.
No
29°C
$8,272 Vol.
No
30°C
$8,628 Vol.
No
31°C
$4,964 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$7,479 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from China Meteorological Administration surface stations, including Beijing Capital International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm May 9's daily high temperature at around 18°C (64°F), driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 22°C or below. Morning readings in the mid-teens Celsius under variable cloud cover and a lingering cool air mass prevented daytime warming, diverging from historical May averages near 26°C amid recent frontal passages. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified measurements with minimal uncertainty, as daily highs rarely revise post-publication. A contrasting heat wave forecast for May 10, with highs nearing 32°C, highlights sharp meteorological shifts but cannot alter today's resolved outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$120,799Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observational data from China Meteorological Administration surface stations, including Beijing Capital International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm May 9's daily high temperature at around 18°C (64°F), driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 22°C or below. Morning readings in the mid-teens Celsius under variable cloud cover and a lingering cool air mass prevented daytime warming, diverging from historical May averages near 26°C amid recent frontal passages. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified measurements with minimal uncertainty, as daily highs rarely revise post-publication. A contrasting heat wave forecast for May 10, with highs nearing 32°C, highlights sharp meteorological shifts but cannot alter today's resolved outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$120,799Fecha de finalización
9 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
Official observational data from China Meteorological Administration surface stations, including Beijing Capital International Airport—the market's resolution source—confirm May 9's daily high temperature at around 18°C (64°F), driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 22°C or below. Morning readings in the mid-teens Celsius under variable cloud cover and a lingering cool air mass prevented daytime warming, diverging from historical May averages near 26°C amid recent frontal passages. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects verified measurements with minimal uncertainty, as daily highs rarely revise post-publication. A contrasting heat wave forecast for May 10, with highs nearing 32°C, highlights sharp meteorological shifts but cannot alter today's resolved outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes