Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Chicago points to a high near 76°F on August 24, driven by northerly winds and lake-effect moderation following a cool front that shifted regional flow earlier in the weekend. This has positioned 76-77°F as the leading market outcome at 45% implied probability, with 78-79°F at 33.5%, well below the late-August climatological normal of 81-82°F. Model consensus shows limited warming potential under mostly sunny skies and light winds, with minimal risk of exceeding 80°F absent unexpected frontal delay. Traders are weighting these short-term observational trends and NWS updates over longer-range seasonal outlooks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 24 de agosto?
¿La temperatura más alta en Chicago el 24 de agosto?
76-77°F 47%
78-79°F 35%
74-75°F 10%
80-81°F 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
69°F o menos
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
47%
78-79°F
35%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88°F o más
<1%
76-77°F 47%
78-79°F 35%
74-75°F 10%
80-81°F 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
69°F o menos
$72 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$103 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$78 Vol.
4%
74-75°F
$261 Vol.
10%
76-77°F
$1,220 Vol.
47%
78-79°F
$165 Vol.
35%
80-81°F
$201 Vol.
6%
82-83°F
$124 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$46 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$40 Vol.
1%
88°F o más
$110 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Chicago points to a high near 76°F on August 24, driven by northerly winds and lake-effect moderation following a cool front that shifted regional flow earlier in the weekend. This has positioned 76-77°F as the leading market outcome at 45% implied probability, with 78-79°F at 33.5%, well below the late-August climatological normal of 81-82°F. Model consensus shows limited warming potential under mostly sunny skies and light winds, with minimal risk of exceeding 80°F absent unexpected frontal delay. Traders are weighting these short-term observational trends and NWS updates over longer-range seasonal outlooks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volumen
$2,420Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Chicago points to a high near 76°F on August 24, driven by northerly winds and lake-effect moderation following a cool front that shifted regional flow earlier in the weekend. This has positioned 76-77°F as the leading market outcome at 45% implied probability, with 78-79°F at 33.5%, well below the late-August climatological normal of 81-82°F. Model consensus shows limited warming potential under mostly sunny skies and light winds, with minimal risk of exceeding 80°F absent unexpected frontal delay. Traders are weighting these short-term observational trends and NWS updates over longer-range seasonal outlooks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,420Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 8:56 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Chicago points to a high near 76°F on August 24, driven by northerly winds and lake-effect moderation following a cool front that shifted regional flow earlier in the weekend. This has positioned 76-77°F as the leading market outcome at 45% implied probability, with 78-79°F at 33.5%, well below the late-August climatological normal of 81-82°F. Model consensus shows limited warming potential under mostly sunny skies and light winds, with minimal risk of exceeding 80°F absent unexpected frontal delay. Traders are weighting these short-term observational trends and NWS updates over longer-range seasonal outlooks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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