Current forecast consensus from models such as the GFS and ECMWF points to an overnight low in Chicago on August 24 in the upper 50s to low 60s, driven by a transitional air mass with light southerly flow moderating temperatures near Lake Michigan. Lake-breeze effects and clear skies under high pressure favor radiative cooling after a daytime high near 76°F, while subtle model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds creates the observed clustering around 56–59°F bins. Historical August normals near 64°F provide context, but recent pattern shifts have introduced modest downside risk reflected in the 47°F-or-below probability. Traders weigh these variables ahead of final National Weather Service observations that will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Chicago el 24 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Chicago el 24 de agosto?
47°F o menos 71%
58-59°F 37%
48-49°F 32%
66°F o más 29%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
47°F o menos
71%
48-49°F
32%
50-51°F
24%
52-53°F
18%
54-55°F
19%
56-57°F
27%
58-59°F
34%
60-61°F
12%
62-63°F
19%
64-65°F
8%
66°F o más
29%
47°F o menos 71%
58-59°F 37%
48-49°F 32%
66°F o más 29%
NUEVO
NUEVO
24 ago 2026
47°F o menos
$5 Vol.
71%
48-49°F
$5 Vol.
32%
50-51°F
$5 Vol.
24%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
18%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
19%
56-57°F
$0 Vol.
27%
58-59°F
$5 Vol.
34%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
12%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
19%
64-65°F
$20 Vol.
8%
66°F o más
$15 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from models such as the GFS and ECMWF points to an overnight low in Chicago on August 24 in the upper 50s to low 60s, driven by a transitional air mass with light southerly flow moderating temperatures near Lake Michigan. Lake-breeze effects and clear skies under high pressure favor radiative cooling after a daytime high near 76°F, while subtle model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds creates the observed clustering around 56–59°F bins. Historical August normals near 64°F provide context, but recent pattern shifts have introduced modest downside risk reflected in the 47°F-or-below probability. Traders weigh these variables ahead of final National Weather Service observations that will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volumen
$55Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from models such as the GFS and ECMWF points to an overnight low in Chicago on August 24 in the upper 50s to low 60s, driven by a transitional air mass with light southerly flow moderating temperatures near Lake Michigan. Lake-breeze effects and clear skies under high pressure favor radiative cooling after a daytime high near 76°F, while subtle model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds creates the observed clustering around 56–59°F bins. Historical August normals near 64°F provide context, but recent pattern shifts have introduced modest downside risk reflected in the 47°F-or-below probability. Traders weigh these variables ahead of final National Weather Service observations that will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$55Fecha de finalización
24 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from models such as the GFS and ECMWF points to an overnight low in Chicago on August 24 in the upper 50s to low 60s, driven by a transitional air mass with light southerly flow moderating temperatures near Lake Michigan. Lake-breeze effects and clear skies under high pressure favor radiative cooling after a daytime high near 76°F, while subtle model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds creates the observed clustering around 56–59°F bins. Historical August normals near 64°F provide context, but recent pattern shifts have introduced modest downside risk reflected in the 47°F-or-below probability. Traders weigh these variables ahead of final National Weather Service observations that will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes