Persistent high-pressure conditions and clear skies over northern China are driving consensus around a September 3 high of at least 26 °C in Jinan. Official forecasts from the Jinan Meteorological Bureau and international models project a sunny day with light northeast winds of 3–4 Beaufort, yielding afternoon maxima of 29–32 °C—well above the threshold. Early-September climatology supports this pattern, with typical highs near 27–30 °C under similar synoptic setups and minimal cloud cover or moisture. The 98.7 % market-implied probability reflects strong model agreement and absence of any incoming cold front or precipitation. Only an unanticipated increase in low-level cloudiness or a rapid shift to northerly flow could realistically suppress temperatures enough to challenge the outcome, though current guidance assigns these scenarios very low likelihood.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Jinan el 3 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Jinan el 3 de septiembre?
26°C o superior 98.6%
25°C 1.0%
22°C <1%
17°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 sep 2026
16°C o menos
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C o superior
99%
26°C o superior 98.6%
25°C 1.0%
22°C <1%
17°C <1%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 sep 2026
16°C o menos
$1,125 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$1,125 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,135 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$1,130 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$238 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$347 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$340 Vol.
1%
23°C
$46 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$34 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$495 Vol.
1%
26°C o superior
$2,022 Vol.
99%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure conditions and clear skies over northern China are driving consensus around a September 3 high of at least 26 °C in Jinan. Official forecasts from the Jinan Meteorological Bureau and international models project a sunny day with light northeast winds of 3–4 Beaufort, yielding afternoon maxima of 29–32 °C—well above the threshold. Early-September climatology supports this pattern, with typical highs near 27–30 °C under similar synoptic setups and minimal cloud cover or moisture. The 98.7 % market-implied probability reflects strong model agreement and absence of any incoming cold front or precipitation. Only an unanticipated increase in low-level cloudiness or a rapid shift to northerly flow could realistically suppress temperatures enough to challenge the outcome, though current guidance assigns these scenarios very low likelihood.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volumen
$8,036Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high-pressure conditions and clear skies over northern China are driving consensus around a September 3 high of at least 26 °C in Jinan. Official forecasts from the Jinan Meteorological Bureau and international models project a sunny day with light northeast winds of 3–4 Beaufort, yielding afternoon maxima of 29–32 °C—well above the threshold. Early-September climatology supports this pattern, with typical highs near 27–30 °C under similar synoptic setups and minimal cloud cover or moisture. The 98.7 % market-implied probability reflects strong model agreement and absence of any incoming cold front or precipitation. Only an unanticipated increase in low-level cloudiness or a rapid shift to northerly flow could realistically suppress temperatures enough to challenge the outcome, though current guidance assigns these scenarios very low likelihood.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,036Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high-pressure conditions and clear skies over northern China are driving consensus around a September 3 high of at least 26 °C in Jinan. Official forecasts from the Jinan Meteorological Bureau and international models project a sunny day with light northeast winds of 3–4 Beaufort, yielding afternoon maxima of 29–32 °C—well above the threshold. Early-September climatology supports this pattern, with typical highs near 27–30 °C under similar synoptic setups and minimal cloud cover or moisture. The 98.7 % market-implied probability reflects strong model agreement and absence of any incoming cold front or precipitation. Only an unanticipated increase in low-level cloudiness or a rapid shift to northerly flow could realistically suppress temperatures enough to challenge the outcome, though current guidance assigns these scenarios very low likelihood.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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