**National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high temperature in the mid-70s for Los Angeles on September 18, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward the 76-77°F bin at 59.5% implied probability.** Morning low clouds and fog associated with the marine layer are expected to clear under moderate southwest onshore flow, yielding mostly sunny afternoon conditions with highs ranging from the mid-70s to around 80°F depending on exact location and boundary-layer mixing. This aligns with late-September climatology near 76°F at downtown and coastal stations, absent any strong offshore winds or anomalous warming. Recent model runs show limited spread, with no major shifts in the 48-hour window that would favor the lower-probability 78-79°F or sub-74°F outcomes. Traders appear to price in this stable pattern while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty in marine-influenced coastal zones.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Los Ángeles el 18 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Los Ángeles el 18 de septiembre?
76-77°F 60%
74-75°F 36%
78-79°F 6%
70-71°F 2%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 sep 2026
63°F o menos
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
36%
76-77°F
60%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
1%
82°F o más
<1%
76-77°F 60%
74-75°F 36%
78-79°F 6%
70-71°F 2%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 sep 2026
63°F o menos
$125 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$125 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$135 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$135 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
2%
72-73°F
$380 Vol.
2%
74-75°F
$1,930 Vol.
36%
76-77°F
$4,166 Vol.
60%
78-79°F
$695 Vol.
6%
80-81°F
$155 Vol.
1%
82°F o más
$159 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high temperature in the mid-70s for Los Angeles on September 18, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward the 76-77°F bin at 59.5% implied probability.** Morning low clouds and fog associated with the marine layer are expected to clear under moderate southwest onshore flow, yielding mostly sunny afternoon conditions with highs ranging from the mid-70s to around 80°F depending on exact location and boundary-layer mixing. This aligns with late-September climatology near 76°F at downtown and coastal stations, absent any strong offshore winds or anomalous warming. Recent model runs show limited spread, with no major shifts in the 48-hour window that would favor the lower-probability 78-79°F or sub-74°F outcomes. Traders appear to price in this stable pattern while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty in marine-influenced coastal zones.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 16, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volumen
$8,005Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high temperature in the mid-70s for Los Angeles on September 18, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward the 76-77°F bin at 59.5% implied probability.** Morning low clouds and fog associated with the marine layer are expected to clear under moderate southwest onshore flow, yielding mostly sunny afternoon conditions with highs ranging from the mid-70s to around 80°F depending on exact location and boundary-layer mixing. This aligns with late-September climatology near 76°F at downtown and coastal stations, absent any strong offshore winds or anomalous warming. Recent model runs show limited spread, with no major shifts in the 48-hour window that would favor the lower-probability 78-79°F or sub-74°F outcomes. Traders appear to price in this stable pattern while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty in marine-influenced coastal zones.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$8,005Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 7:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...**National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to a high temperature in the mid-70s for Los Angeles on September 18, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward the 76-77°F bin at 59.5% implied probability.** Morning low clouds and fog associated with the marine layer are expected to clear under moderate southwest onshore flow, yielding mostly sunny afternoon conditions with highs ranging from the mid-70s to around 80°F depending on exact location and boundary-layer mixing. This aligns with late-September climatology near 76°F at downtown and coastal stations, absent any strong offshore winds or anomalous warming. Recent model runs show limited spread, with no major shifts in the 48-hour window that would favor the lower-probability 78-79°F or sub-74°F outcomes. Traders appear to price in this stable pattern while acknowledging typical forecast uncertainty in marine-influenced coastal zones.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes