India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached just 28.0°C on May 5, 2026, at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport—the standard station for such records—marking a stark -11.4°C departure from seasonal norms amid partly cloudy skies, thundery developments, and light rain that curtailed solar heating and atmospheric mixing. This verified data drives the market's 100% implied probability for "33°C or below," reflecting trader consensus on the unassailable positioning well under the threshold. While final daily summaries from IMD typically solidify by midnight, a rare post hoc measurement revision upward could challenge this, though historical precedents show such adjustments minimal for settled daily maxima. Traders await IMD's official bulletin for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 5?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 5?
33°C or below 100.0%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$84,767 Vol.
$84,767 Vol.
5 may 2026
33°C or below
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C or higher
No
33°C or below 100.0%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
36°C <1%
$84,767 Vol.
$84,767 Vol.
5 may 2026
33°C or below
$15,066 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$16,763 Vol.
No
35°C
$9,867 Vol.
No
36°C
$11,890 Vol.
No
37°C
$9,302 Vol.
No
38°C
$8,802 Vol.
No
39°C
$7,423 Vol.
No
40°C
$588 Vol.
No
41°C
$4,286 Vol.
No
42°C
$605 Vol.
No
43°C or higher
$176 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached just 28.0°C on May 5, 2026, at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport—the standard station for such records—marking a stark -11.4°C departure from seasonal norms amid partly cloudy skies, thundery developments, and light rain that curtailed solar heating and atmospheric mixing. This verified data drives the market's 100% implied probability for "33°C or below," reflecting trader consensus on the unassailable positioning well under the threshold. While final daily summaries from IMD typically solidify by midnight, a rare post hoc measurement revision upward could challenge this, though historical precedents show such adjustments minimal for settled daily maxima. Traders await IMD's official bulletin for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$84,767Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached just 28.0°C on May 5, 2026, at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport—the standard station for such records—marking a stark -11.4°C departure from seasonal norms amid partly cloudy skies, thundery developments, and light rain that curtailed solar heating and atmospheric mixing. This verified data drives the market's 100% implied probability for "33°C or below," reflecting trader consensus on the unassailable positioning well under the threshold. While final daily summaries from IMD typically solidify by midnight, a rare post hoc measurement revision upward could challenge this, though historical precedents show such adjustments minimal for settled daily maxima. Traders await IMD's official bulletin for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$84,767Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
India Meteorological Department (IMD) observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature reached just 28.0°C on May 5, 2026, at Chaudhary Charan Singh International Airport—the standard station for such records—marking a stark -11.4°C departure from seasonal norms amid partly cloudy skies, thundery developments, and light rain that curtailed solar heating and atmospheric mixing. This verified data drives the market's 100% implied probability for "33°C or below," reflecting trader consensus on the unassailable positioning well under the threshold. While final daily summaries from IMD typically solidify by midnight, a rare post hoc measurement revision upward could challenge this, though historical precedents show such adjustments minimal for settled daily maxima. Traders await IMD's official bulletin for resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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