Recent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on September 24 indicate daytime highs of 66–68°F under partly to mostly cloudy skies and persistent northeasterly winds of 10–20 mph, establishing the primary driver behind elevated market-implied odds on the 57°F-or-below and 66–67°F outcomes. Model consensus points to limited diurnal warming due to onshore flow and cloud cover, though minor variations in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could shift the maximum by a few degrees. Historical September normals near 75°F highlight the anomalous cool pattern, while traders weigh resolution thresholds tied to official Central Park observations against potential late-day clearing or model revisions ahead of the event.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 24 de septiembre?
66-67°F 40%
76°F o más 33%
68-69°F 23%
70-71°F 19%
57°F o menos
9%
58-59°F
13%
60-61°F
8%
62-63°F
11%
64-65°F
16%
66-67°F
24%
68-69°F
23%
70-71°F
19%
72-73 °F
5%
74-75°F
6%
76°F o más
33%
66-67°F 40%
76°F o más 33%
68-69°F 23%
70-71°F 19%
57°F o menos
9%
58-59°F
13%
60-61°F
8%
62-63°F
11%
64-65°F
16%
66-67°F
24%
68-69°F
23%
70-71°F
19%
72-73 °F
5%
74-75°F
6%
76°F o más
33%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for New York City on September 24 indicate daytime highs of 66–68°F under partly to mostly cloudy skies and persistent northeasterly winds of 10–20 mph, establishing the primary driver behind elevated market-implied odds on the 57°F-or-below and 66–67°F outcomes. Model consensus points to limited diurnal warming due to onshore flow and cloud cover, though minor variations in boundary-layer moisture or wind speed could shift the maximum by a few degrees. Historical September normals near 75°F highlight the anomalous cool pattern, while traders weigh resolution thresholds tied to official Central Park observations against potential late-day clearing or model revisions ahead of the event.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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