Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a warm, humid air mass over the Northeast with southwest flow and highs near 84°F for New York City on September 3, keeping the 84-85°F and 86-87°F bins nearly tied at roughly 23% and 22% implied probability. Scattered showers and thunderstorms expected during the day could limit full solar heating and cap the peak, while timing of any clearing or stronger southerly advection will determine whether readings reach the mid-80s or stay slightly cooler. These near-term factors explain the tight clustering around the upper 70s to mid-80s range, well above the late-summer climatological average high near 80°F, with additional model updates and official forecasts likely to refine the outcome before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 3 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Nueva York el 3 de septiembre?
84-85°F 24%
86-87°F 22%
82-83°F 19%
88-89°F 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 sep 2026
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
9%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
24%
86-87°F
22%
88-89°F
11%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
3%
94°F or higher
5%
84-85°F 24%
86-87°F 22%
82-83°F 19%
88-89°F 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 sep 2026
75°F or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
4%
78-79°F
$8 Vol.
9%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
10%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
19%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
24%
86-87°F
$33 Vol.
22%
88-89°F
$0 Vol.
11%
90-91°F
$20 Vol.
9%
92-93°F
$11 Vol.
3%
94°F or higher
$10 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a warm, humid air mass over the Northeast with southwest flow and highs near 84°F for New York City on September 3, keeping the 84-85°F and 86-87°F bins nearly tied at roughly 23% and 22% implied probability. Scattered showers and thunderstorms expected during the day could limit full solar heating and cap the peak, while timing of any clearing or stronger southerly advection will determine whether readings reach the mid-80s or stay slightly cooler. These near-term factors explain the tight clustering around the upper 70s to mid-80s range, well above the late-summer climatological average high near 80°F, with additional model updates and official forecasts likely to refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 1, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Volumen
$81Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 3:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a warm, humid air mass over the Northeast with southwest flow and highs near 84°F for New York City on September 3, keeping the 84-85°F and 86-87°F bins nearly tied at roughly 23% and 22% implied probability. Scattered showers and thunderstorms expected during the day could limit full solar heating and cap the peak, while timing of any clearing or stronger southerly advection will determine whether readings reach the mid-80s or stay slightly cooler. These near-term factors explain the tight clustering around the upper 70s to mid-80s range, well above the late-summer climatological average high near 80°F, with additional model updates and official forecasts likely to refine the outcome before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$81Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 3:55 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance points to a warm, humid air mass over the Northeast with southwest flow and highs near 84°F for New York City on September 3, keeping the 84-85°F and 86-87°F bins nearly tied at roughly 23% and 22% implied probability. Scattered showers and thunderstorms expected during the day could limit full solar heating and cap the peak, while timing of any clearing or stronger southerly advection will determine whether readings reach the mid-80s or stay slightly cooler. These near-term factors explain the tight clustering around the upper 70s to mid-80s range, well above the late-summer climatological average high near 80°F, with additional model updates and official forecasts likely to refine the outcome before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes