Current forecast consensus from multiple models indicates a September 10 maximum in Shenzhen between 31°C and 32°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms possible. Subtropical September conditions feature strong diurnal heating moderated by high humidity near 70% and variable cloud cover, which can suppress or briefly enhance afternoon peaks depending on convective timing. Recent runs show no major cold fronts or typhoon influences altering the pattern, keeping outcomes near the seasonal baseline of roughly 30–32°C. Trader odds reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with updates from GFS, ECMWF, or official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance expected to refine exact resolution thresholds ahead of the date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Shenzhen el 10 de septiembre?
31°C 35%
32°C 34%
30°C 16%
29°C 11%
26°C o menos
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
11%
30°C
16%
31°C
35%
32°C
34%
33°C
10%
34°C
6%
35°C
3%
36°C o más
4%
31°C 35%
32°C 34%
30°C 16%
29°C 11%
26°C o menos
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
11%
30°C
16%
31°C
35%
32°C
34%
33°C
10%
34°C
6%
35°C
3%
36°C o más
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from multiple models indicates a September 10 maximum in Shenzhen between 31°C and 32°C under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms possible. Subtropical September conditions feature strong diurnal heating moderated by high humidity near 70% and variable cloud cover, which can suppress or briefly enhance afternoon peaks depending on convective timing. Recent runs show no major cold fronts or typhoon influences altering the pattern, keeping outcomes near the seasonal baseline of roughly 30–32°C. Trader odds reflect this narrow uncertainty band, with updates from GFS, ECMWF, or official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance expected to refine exact resolution thresholds ahead of the date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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