Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a warm, humid air mass with southwesterly flow will keep overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s across New York City on September 10, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 72–75°F. Persistent cloud cover and light precipitation chances may limit radiational cooling, while dew points near 65–68°F support minimum temperatures several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 63.5°F. Model consensus shows limited spread, though small variations in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any showers could shift the recorded low at Central Park by 1–2°F. Updated NWS short-range forecasts and next model cycles will provide the final resolution criteria for this market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 10 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 10 de septiembre?
74-75°F 43%
72-73 °F 34%
76-77°F 19%
67°F o menos 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 sep 2026
67°F o menos
14%
68-69°F
10%
70-71°F
7%
72-73 °F
34%
74-75°F
43%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
8%
80-81°F
4%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
1%
86°F o más
<1%
74-75°F 43%
72-73 °F 34%
76-77°F 19%
67°F o menos 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 sep 2026
67°F o menos
$0 Vol.
14%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
10%
70-71°F
$133 Vol.
7%
72-73 °F
$541 Vol.
34%
74-75°F
$613 Vol.
43%
76-77°F
$5 Vol.
19%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
8%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
4%
82-83°F
$5 Vol.
2%
84-85°F
$5 Vol.
1%
86°F o más
$167 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a warm, humid air mass with southwesterly flow will keep overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s across New York City on September 10, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 72–75°F. Persistent cloud cover and light precipitation chances may limit radiational cooling, while dew points near 65–68°F support minimum temperatures several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 63.5°F. Model consensus shows limited spread, though small variations in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any showers could shift the recorded low at Central Park by 1–2°F. Updated NWS short-range forecasts and next model cycles will provide the final resolution criteria for this market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volumen
$1,469Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a warm, humid air mass with southwesterly flow will keep overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s across New York City on September 10, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 72–75°F. Persistent cloud cover and light precipitation chances may limit radiational cooling, while dew points near 65–68°F support minimum temperatures several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 63.5°F. Model consensus shows limited spread, though small variations in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any showers could shift the recorded low at Central Park by 1–2°F. Updated NWS short-range forecasts and next model cycles will provide the final resolution criteria for this market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,469Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate a warm, humid air mass with southwesterly flow will keep overnight lows in the low-to-mid 70s across New York City on September 10, driving the tight clustering of market-implied odds around 72–75°F. Persistent cloud cover and light precipitation chances may limit radiational cooling, while dew points near 65–68°F support minimum temperatures several degrees above the 1991–2020 climatological average of 63.5°F. Model consensus shows limited spread, though small variations in boundary-layer mixing or timing of any showers could shift the recorded low at Central Park by 1–2°F. Updated NWS short-range forecasts and next model cycles will provide the final resolution criteria for this market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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