Current model consensus from sources like GFS points to a maximum near 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 9, with scattered showers, westerly winds of 15–17 mph, and limited afternoon sunshine keeping readings from climbing higher. This setup explains the near-even market split between the two leading outcomes, as small shifts in shower timing or cloud cover could tip the peak either way. Recent days have featured above-normal warmth, but the incoming cooler maritime air mass aligns with typical early-September variability. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data from the National Weather Service equivalents will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 9 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Ámsterdam el 9 de septiembre?
19°C 48%
18°C 47%
17°C 5%
20°C 3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 sep 2026
12°C o menos
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
5%
18°C
47%
19°C
48%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C o más
<1%
19°C 48%
18°C 47%
17°C 5%
20°C 3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
9 sep 2026
12°C o menos
$381 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$171 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$128 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$344 Vol.
1%
16°C
$304 Vol.
2%
17°C
$842 Vol.
5%
18°C
$1,180 Vol.
47%
19°C
$2,090 Vol.
48%
20°C
$350 Vol.
3%
21°C
$194 Vol.
1%
22°C o más
$344 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from sources like GFS points to a maximum near 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 9, with scattered showers, westerly winds of 15–17 mph, and limited afternoon sunshine keeping readings from climbing higher. This setup explains the near-even market split between the two leading outcomes, as small shifts in shower timing or cloud cover could tip the peak either way. Recent days have featured above-normal warmth, but the incoming cooler maritime air mass aligns with typical early-September variability. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data from the National Weather Service equivalents will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$6,328Fecha de finalización
9 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current model consensus from sources like GFS points to a maximum near 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 9, with scattered showers, westerly winds of 15–17 mph, and limited afternoon sunshine keeping readings from climbing higher. This setup explains the near-even market split between the two leading outcomes, as small shifts in shower timing or cloud cover could tip the peak either way. Recent days have featured above-normal warmth, but the incoming cooler maritime air mass aligns with typical early-September variability. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data from the National Weather Service equivalents will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,328Fecha de finalización
9 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current model consensus from sources like GFS points to a maximum near 18–19°C in Amsterdam on September 9, with scattered showers, westerly winds of 15–17 mph, and limited afternoon sunshine keeping readings from climbing higher. This setup explains the near-even market split between the two leading outcomes, as small shifts in shower timing or cloud cover could tip the peak either way. Recent days have featured above-normal warmth, but the incoming cooler maritime air mass aligns with typical early-September variability. Updated high-resolution runs and observational data from the National Weather Service equivalents will refine the exact threshold ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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