Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a frontal passage overnight into September 10 will bring increased cloud cover, light rain, and northwesterly winds to Warsaw, limiting daytime heating and positioning the maximum temperature near 19°C. This synoptic shift follows several days of warmer southerly flow that produced highs above 27°C on September 9, creating a sharp contrast as cooler maritime air advects into the region. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 18–20°C, with limited upside potential due to persistent cloudiness and modest insolation. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this consensus, reflecting traders’ incorporation of official agency model runs and historical September climatology for the area. Updated short-range forecasts and observational data from the next 24 hours will provide the final resolution inputs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 10 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Varsovia el 10 de septiembre?
19°C 43%
20°C 28%
18°C 20%
21°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 sep 2026
15°C o menos
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
4%
18°C
20%
19°C
43%
20°C
28%
21°C
6%
22°C
2%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C o más
<1%
19°C 43%
20°C 28%
18°C 20%
21°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 sep 2026
15°C o menos
$127 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$257 Vol.
2%
17°C
$247 Vol.
4%
18°C
$2,055 Vol.
20%
19°C
$1,698 Vol.
43%
20°C
$1,304 Vol.
28%
21°C
$1,030 Vol.
6%
22°C
$208 Vol.
2%
23°C
$186 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$200 Vol.
<1%
25°C o más
$372 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a frontal passage overnight into September 10 will bring increased cloud cover, light rain, and northwesterly winds to Warsaw, limiting daytime heating and positioning the maximum temperature near 19°C. This synoptic shift follows several days of warmer southerly flow that produced highs above 27°C on September 9, creating a sharp contrast as cooler maritime air advects into the region. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 18–20°C, with limited upside potential due to persistent cloudiness and modest insolation. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this consensus, reflecting traders’ incorporation of official agency model runs and historical September climatology for the area. Updated short-range forecasts and observational data from the next 24 hours will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$7,683Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a frontal passage overnight into September 10 will bring increased cloud cover, light rain, and northwesterly winds to Warsaw, limiting daytime heating and positioning the maximum temperature near 19°C. This synoptic shift follows several days of warmer southerly flow that produced highs above 27°C on September 9, creating a sharp contrast as cooler maritime air advects into the region. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 18–20°C, with limited upside potential due to persistent cloudiness and modest insolation. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this consensus, reflecting traders’ incorporation of official agency model runs and historical September climatology for the area. Updated short-range forecasts and observational data from the next 24 hours will provide the final resolution inputs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$7,683Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a frontal passage overnight into September 10 will bring increased cloud cover, light rain, and northwesterly winds to Warsaw, limiting daytime heating and positioning the maximum temperature near 19°C. This synoptic shift follows several days of warmer southerly flow that produced highs above 27°C on September 9, creating a sharp contrast as cooler maritime air advects into the region. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 18–20°C, with limited upside potential due to persistent cloudiness and modest insolation. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this consensus, reflecting traders’ incorporation of official agency model runs and historical September climatology for the area. Updated short-range forecasts and observational data from the next 24 hours will provide the final resolution inputs.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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