Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park and surrounding NYC stations point to a Friday, September 11 minimum near 63–69°F under mostly clear skies and northwest flow behind a weak front, with daytime highs near 80°F. This cooling stems from drier, cooler air advection and enhanced radiational cooling overnight, though model spreads in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind timing create uncertainty around the precise low. Trader-implied probabilities remain closely bunched because small forecast revisions—common this close to the date—can shift the outcome across multiple 2°F bins, while historical early-September climatology (typical lows 62–68°F) provides limited additional constraint amid variable steering patterns. Updated NWS model guidance and evening forecast discussions will likely drive the next market moves.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 11 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Nueva York el 11 de septiembre?
80°F o más 47%
61°F o menos 46%
68-69°F 40%
72-73°F 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 sep 2026
61°F o menos
46%
62-63°F
26%
64-65°F
27%
66-67°F
29%
68-69°F
40%
70-71°F
24%
72-73°F
40%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
26%
80°F o más
47%
80°F o más 47%
61°F o menos 46%
68-69°F 40%
72-73°F 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 sep 2026
61°F o menos
$0 Vol.
46%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
26%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
27%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
29%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
40%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
24%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
40%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
26%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
26%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
26%
80°F o más
$0 Vol.
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park and surrounding NYC stations point to a Friday, September 11 minimum near 63–69°F under mostly clear skies and northwest flow behind a weak front, with daytime highs near 80°F. This cooling stems from drier, cooler air advection and enhanced radiational cooling overnight, though model spreads in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind timing create uncertainty around the precise low. Trader-implied probabilities remain closely bunched because small forecast revisions—common this close to the date—can shift the outcome across multiple 2°F bins, while historical early-September climatology (typical lows 62–68°F) provides limited additional constraint amid variable steering patterns. Updated NWS model guidance and evening forecast discussions will likely drive the next market moves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park and surrounding NYC stations point to a Friday, September 11 minimum near 63–69°F under mostly clear skies and northwest flow behind a weak front, with daytime highs near 80°F. This cooling stems from drier, cooler air advection and enhanced radiational cooling overnight, though model spreads in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind timing create uncertainty around the precise low. Trader-implied probabilities remain closely bunched because small forecast revisions—common this close to the date—can shift the outcome across multiple 2°F bins, while historical early-September climatology (typical lows 62–68°F) provides limited additional constraint amid variable steering patterns. Updated NWS model guidance and evening forecast discussions will likely drive the next market moves.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Central Park and surrounding NYC stations point to a Friday, September 11 minimum near 63–69°F under mostly clear skies and northwest flow behind a weak front, with daytime highs near 80°F. This cooling stems from drier, cooler air advection and enhanced radiational cooling overnight, though model spreads in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind timing create uncertainty around the precise low. Trader-implied probabilities remain closely bunched because small forecast revisions—common this close to the date—can shift the outcome across multiple 2°F bins, while historical early-September climatology (typical lows 62–68°F) provides limited additional constraint amid variable steering patterns. Updated NWS model guidance and evening forecast discussions will likely drive the next market moves.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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