Current forecasts from PAGASA and meteorological models indicate a high near 29°C for Manila on September 11, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and southwest monsoon flow that limits solar heating and promotes afternoon convection. These conditions align with typical September rainy-season patterns, where average highs reach 30–31°C but often fall short under overcast skies and elevated humidity exceeding 80%. Trader consensus favoring 30°C at 74% implied probability reflects historical baselines and the slim chance of brief clearing allowing a modest rise, while lower odds for 31°C or above account for model agreement on suppressed maxima. No significant shifts in steering patterns or monsoon intensity are expected before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 11 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Manila el 11 de septiembre?
30°C 100.0%
24°C o menos <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$19,376 Vol.
$19,376 Vol.
11 sep 2026
24°C o menos
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C o más
<1%
30°C 100.0%
24°C o menos <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$19,376 Vol.
$19,376 Vol.
11 sep 2026
24°C o menos
$221 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$477 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$390 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,149 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,748 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,654 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,601 Vol.
100%
31°C
$3,022 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$2,652 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$2,760 Vol.
<1%
34°C o más
$1,704 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from PAGASA and meteorological models indicate a high near 29°C for Manila on September 11, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and southwest monsoon flow that limits solar heating and promotes afternoon convection. These conditions align with typical September rainy-season patterns, where average highs reach 30–31°C but often fall short under overcast skies and elevated humidity exceeding 80%. Trader consensus favoring 30°C at 74% implied probability reflects historical baselines and the slim chance of brief clearing allowing a modest rise, while lower odds for 31°C or above account for model agreement on suppressed maxima. No significant shifts in steering patterns or monsoon intensity are expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volumen
$19,376Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from PAGASA and meteorological models indicate a high near 29°C for Manila on September 11, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and southwest monsoon flow that limits solar heating and promotes afternoon convection. These conditions align with typical September rainy-season patterns, where average highs reach 30–31°C but often fall short under overcast skies and elevated humidity exceeding 80%. Trader consensus favoring 30°C at 74% implied probability reflects historical baselines and the slim chance of brief clearing allowing a modest rise, while lower odds for 31°C or above account for model agreement on suppressed maxima. No significant shifts in steering patterns or monsoon intensity are expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$19,376Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:59 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from PAGASA and meteorological models indicate a high near 29°C for Manila on September 11, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and southwest monsoon flow that limits solar heating and promotes afternoon convection. These conditions align with typical September rainy-season patterns, where average highs reach 30–31°C but often fall short under overcast skies and elevated humidity exceeding 80%. Trader consensus favoring 30°C at 74% implied probability reflects historical baselines and the slim chance of brief clearing allowing a modest rise, while lower odds for 31°C or above account for model agreement on suppressed maxima. No significant shifts in steering patterns or monsoon intensity are expected before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes