Forecast models for Manila indicate a tight contest between overnight lows of 24°C and 25°C on September 11, with scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling under high humidity typical of the southwest monsoon season. Official PAGASA and international guidance show surface temperatures holding near 25–26°C into the evening before any dip, influenced by urban heat retention and light winds that reduce mixing. Historical September climatology places average daily minima around 25°C, but variable rainfall and dew points near 24–25°C create uncertainty in the precise minimum recorded at monitoring stations. Traders weigh these factors against potential brief clear spells that could allow a dip to 24°C before sunrise.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Manila el 11 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Manila el 11 de septiembre?
25°C 99%
24°C 20%
20°C o menos <1%
21°C <1%
$616 Vol.
$616 Vol.
11 sep 2026
20°C o menos
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Sí
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C o más
No
25°C 99%
24°C 20%
20°C o menos <1%
21°C <1%
$616 Vol.
$616 Vol.
11 sep 2026
20°C o menos
$50 Vol.
No
21°C
$50 Vol.
No
22°C
$40 Vol.
No
23°C
$30 Vol.
No
24°C
$63 Vol.
No
25°C
$197 Vol.
Sí
26°C
$111 Vol.
No
27°C
$0 Vol.
No
28°C
$25 Vol.
No
29°C
$25 Vol.
No
30°C o más
$25 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Manila indicate a tight contest between overnight lows of 24°C and 25°C on September 11, with scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling under high humidity typical of the southwest monsoon season. Official PAGASA and international guidance show surface temperatures holding near 25–26°C into the evening before any dip, influenced by urban heat retention and light winds that reduce mixing. Historical September climatology places average daily minima around 25°C, but variable rainfall and dew points near 24–25°C create uncertainty in the precise minimum recorded at monitoring stations. Traders weigh these factors against potential brief clear spells that could allow a dip to 24°C before sunrise.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$616Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Manila indicate a tight contest between overnight lows of 24°C and 25°C on September 11, with scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling under high humidity typical of the southwest monsoon season. Official PAGASA and international guidance show surface temperatures holding near 25–26°C into the evening before any dip, influenced by urban heat retention and light winds that reduce mixing. Historical September climatology places average daily minima around 25°C, but variable rainfall and dew points near 24–25°C create uncertainty in the precise minimum recorded at monitoring stations. Traders weigh these factors against potential brief clear spells that could allow a dip to 24°C before sunrise.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$616Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:31 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Forecast models for Manila indicate a tight contest between overnight lows of 24°C and 25°C on September 11, with scattered thunderstorms and persistent cloud cover limiting radiative cooling under high humidity typical of the southwest monsoon season. Official PAGASA and international guidance show surface temperatures holding near 25–26°C into the evening before any dip, influenced by urban heat retention and light winds that reduce mixing. Historical September climatology places average daily minima around 25°C, but variable rainfall and dew points near 24–25°C create uncertainty in the precise minimum recorded at monitoring stations. Traders weigh these factors against potential brief clear spells that could allow a dip to 24°C before sunrise.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes