**Limited geographic containment and rapid public health responses have anchored trader confidence at 96.3% for no Ebola pandemic in 2026.** An ongoing Bundibugyo virus outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern in May, has produced roughly 4,500–4,700 confirmed cases and over 2,000 deaths as of mid-August, yet remains concentrated in eastern DRC provinces with minimal exported cases. Uganda declared its limited outbreak (20 cases) over in July. Official assessments from WHO, CDC, and ECDC rate global risk as low due to Ebola’s contact-based transmission, absence of sustained community spread beyond affected zones, and historical precedent of contained outbreaks. While case counts continue rising in DRC, surveillance, contact tracing, and border measures have prevented the widespread international dissemination required for pandemic classification, though evolving conditions or lapses in response could still alter trajectories before year-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoEbola pandemic in 2026?
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
4% probabilidad
$691,757 Vol.
$691,757 Vol.
31 dic 2026
4% probabilidad
$691,757 Vol.
$691,757 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Limited geographic containment and rapid public health responses have anchored trader confidence at 96.3% for no Ebola pandemic in 2026.** An ongoing Bundibugyo virus outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern in May, has produced roughly 4,500–4,700 confirmed cases and over 2,000 deaths as of mid-August, yet remains concentrated in eastern DRC provinces with minimal exported cases. Uganda declared its limited outbreak (20 cases) over in July. Official assessments from WHO, CDC, and ECDC rate global risk as low due to Ebola’s contact-based transmission, absence of sustained community spread beyond affected zones, and historical precedent of contained outbreaks. While case counts continue rising in DRC, surveillance, contact tracing, and border measures have prevented the widespread international dissemination required for pandemic classification, though evolving conditions or lapses in response could still alter trajectories before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ET
Volumen
$691,757Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Limited geographic containment and rapid public health responses have anchored trader confidence at 96.3% for no Ebola pandemic in 2026.** An ongoing Bundibugyo virus outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern in May, has produced roughly 4,500–4,700 confirmed cases and over 2,000 deaths as of mid-August, yet remains concentrated in eastern DRC provinces with minimal exported cases. Uganda declared its limited outbreak (20 cases) over in July. Official assessments from WHO, CDC, and ECDC rate global risk as low due to Ebola’s contact-based transmission, absence of sustained community spread beyond affected zones, and historical precedent of contained outbreaks. While case counts continue rising in DRC, surveillance, contact tracing, and border measures have prevented the widespread international dissemination required for pandemic classification, though evolving conditions or lapses in response could still alter trajectories before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Ebola virus disease, Ebola, any Ebola strain, or any outbreak of ebola as a “pandemic” in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a “pandemic.” A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$691,757Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 3:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Limited geographic containment and rapid public health responses have anchored trader confidence at 96.3% for no Ebola pandemic in 2026.** An ongoing Bundibugyo virus outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Uganda, declared a Public Health Emergency of International Concern in May, has produced roughly 4,500–4,700 confirmed cases and over 2,000 deaths as of mid-August, yet remains concentrated in eastern DRC provinces with minimal exported cases. Uganda declared its limited outbreak (20 cases) over in July. Official assessments from WHO, CDC, and ECDC rate global risk as low due to Ebola’s contact-based transmission, absence of sustained community spread beyond affected zones, and historical precedent of contained outbreaks. While case counts continue rising in DRC, surveillance, contact tracing, and border measures have prevented the widespread international dissemination required for pandemic classification, though evolving conditions or lapses in response could still alter trajectories before year-end.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes