**Trader consensus has coalesced around the 98-99°F outcome at essentially 100% implied probability following official observations of Dallas’s daily high on September 10, 2026.** Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources had projected upper-90s readings under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and modest humidity, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. The recorded maximum aligned precisely with that guidance and historical analogs for early-September warm spells. Because the market resolves on verified station data rather than forecasts, the narrow bin captured the actual measurement with no meaningful uncertainty remaining. Only an unforeseen post-observation revision or station-specific discrepancy could alter the result, both of which are statistically rare once preliminary climatological reports are released.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Dallas el 10 de septiembre?
98-99°F 100.0%
89°F o menos <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$43,626 Vol.
$43,626 Vol.
89°F o menos
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
Sí
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105 °F
No
106-107°F
No
108°F o más
No
98-99°F 100.0%
89°F o menos <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$43,626 Vol.
$43,626 Vol.
89°F o menos
No
90-91°F
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
Sí
100-101°F
No
102-103°F
No
104-105 °F
No
106-107°F
No
108°F o más
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
**Trader consensus has coalesced around the 98-99°F outcome at essentially 100% implied probability following official observations of Dallas’s daily high on September 10, 2026.** Forecast models from the National Weather Service and private sources had projected upper-90s readings under partly cloudy skies with light southerly flow and modest humidity, consistent with late-summer climatology for the region. The recorded maximum aligned precisely with that guidance and historical analogs for early-September warm spells. Because the market resolves on verified station data rather than forecasts, the narrow bin captured the actual measurement with no meaningful uncertainty remaining. Only an unforeseen post-observation revision or station-specific discrepancy could alter the result, both of which are statistically rare once preliminary climatological reports are released.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes