Persistent high pressure over Texas and light southerly flow are sustaining elevated temperatures across central Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for mostly sunny skies and a high near 99°F on September 10 in Austin. Model consensus and recent observations from the prior days—when highs reached 99–101°F—support the market’s heavy weighting toward 98–99°F (50% implied probability), while the 22.5% odds on 100–101°F reflect residual uncertainty from afternoon heating and possible scattered convection. Dew points in the mid-70s will boost heat indices above 105°F, but minimal cloud cover and lack of strong steering winds limit rapid changes. Updated NWS guidance and the next model runs tonight remain the key near-term catalysts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 10 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Austin el 10 de septiembre?
98-99°F 50%
100-101°F 22%
96-97°F 16%
94-95°F 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 sep 2026
89°F o menos
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
16%
98-99°F
50%
100-101°F
22%
102-103°F
4%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
1%
108°F o más
1%
98-99°F 50%
100-101°F 22%
96-97°F 16%
94-95°F 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 sep 2026
89°F o menos
$180 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$98 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
3%
94-95°F
$24 Vol.
5%
96-97°F
$3,387 Vol.
16%
98-99°F
$471 Vol.
50%
100-101°F
$1,093 Vol.
22%
102-103°F
$263 Vol.
4%
104-105°F
$0 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$147 Vol.
1%
108°F o más
$201 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over Texas and light southerly flow are sustaining elevated temperatures across central Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for mostly sunny skies and a high near 99°F on September 10 in Austin. Model consensus and recent observations from the prior days—when highs reached 99–101°F—support the market’s heavy weighting toward 98–99°F (50% implied probability), while the 22.5% odds on 100–101°F reflect residual uncertainty from afternoon heating and possible scattered convection. Dew points in the mid-70s will boost heat indices above 105°F, but minimal cloud cover and lack of strong steering winds limit rapid changes. Updated NWS guidance and the next model runs tonight remain the key near-term catalysts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volumen
$5,865Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high pressure over Texas and light southerly flow are sustaining elevated temperatures across central Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for mostly sunny skies and a high near 99°F on September 10 in Austin. Model consensus and recent observations from the prior days—when highs reached 99–101°F—support the market’s heavy weighting toward 98–99°F (50% implied probability), while the 22.5% odds on 100–101°F reflect residual uncertainty from afternoon heating and possible scattered convection. Dew points in the mid-70s will boost heat indices above 105°F, but minimal cloud cover and lack of strong steering winds limit rapid changes. Updated NWS guidance and the next model runs tonight remain the key near-term catalysts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$5,865Fecha de finalización
10 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 3:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high pressure over Texas and light southerly flow are sustaining elevated temperatures across central Texas, with National Weather Service forecasts calling for mostly sunny skies and a high near 99°F on September 10 in Austin. Model consensus and recent observations from the prior days—when highs reached 99–101°F—support the market’s heavy weighting toward 98–99°F (50% implied probability), while the 22.5% odds on 100–101°F reflect residual uncertainty from afternoon heating and possible scattered convection. Dew points in the mid-70s will boost heat indices above 105°F, but minimal cloud cover and lack of strong steering winds limit rapid changes. Updated NWS guidance and the next model runs tonight remain the key near-term catalysts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes