**Current forecast models from multiple sources project afternoon highs of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 9 under clear to mostly sunny skies, light northwest winds, and typical late-summer high-pressure conditions.** This setup favors the market-implied 33°C outcome (76% probability) as the leading resolution, with 34°C (18%) capturing upside variance from localized heating or measurement timing. Historical September averages near 29–31°C provide context, yet recent stable model runs show slightly above-normal warmth without major synoptic shifts or moisture intrusion that would alter the trajectory. Traders appear to weigh the consensus range against resolution criteria at official stations, with minimal probability assigned to extremes below 32°C or above 34°C given the absence of forecast volatility in the latest updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 9 de septiembre?
33°C 77%
34°C 20%
32°C 4%
35°C <1%
29°C o menos
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
4%
33°C
77%
34°C
20%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C o más
<1%
33°C 77%
34°C 20%
32°C 4%
35°C <1%
29°C o menos
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
4%
33°C
77%
34°C
20%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models from multiple sources project afternoon highs of 31–32°C in Tel Aviv on September 9 under clear to mostly sunny skies, light northwest winds, and typical late-summer high-pressure conditions.** This setup favors the market-implied 33°C outcome (76% probability) as the leading resolution, with 34°C (18%) capturing upside variance from localized heating or measurement timing. Historical September averages near 29–31°C provide context, yet recent stable model runs show slightly above-normal warmth without major synoptic shifts or moisture intrusion that would alter the trajectory. Traders appear to weigh the consensus range against resolution criteria at official stations, with minimal probability assigned to extremes below 32°C or above 34°C given the absence of forecast volatility in the latest updates.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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