**Forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles like GFS show a stable high-pressure system over the eastern Mediterranean driving clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and a maximum air temperature of 33°C in Tel Aviv on September 10.** This aligns with late-summer climatology, where daily highs typically range 30–32°C, and recent observational data plus model consensus confirm the peak will reach but not exceed this threshold under current subsidence and minimal moisture. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for 33°C reflects this tight agreement across official guidance. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger onshore flow, or revised station measurements near resolution could shift the outcome toward 32°C or lower, though such changes appear unlikely given the established pattern.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 10 de septiembre?
33°C 99.9%
29°C o menos <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$31,010 Vol.
$31,010 Vol.
29°C o menos
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C o más
<1%
33°C 99.9%
29°C o menos <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$31,010 Vol.
$31,010 Vol.
29°C o menos
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
100%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles like GFS show a stable high-pressure system over the eastern Mediterranean driving clear skies, light northwesterly winds, and a maximum air temperature of 33°C in Tel Aviv on September 10.** This aligns with late-summer climatology, where daily highs typically range 30–32°C, and recent observational data plus model consensus confirm the peak will reach but not exceed this threshold under current subsidence and minimal moisture. Trader consensus at 99.5% implied probability for 33°C reflects this tight agreement across official guidance. A sudden increase in cloud cover, stronger onshore flow, or revised station measurements near resolution could shift the outcome toward 32°C or lower, though such changes appear unlikely given the established pattern.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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