Trader consensus for Seattle's September 12 minimum temperature shows notable uncertainty, with closely matched probabilities across the 47°F-or-below bin and several 50s outcomes reflecting divergent short-term model guidance. Primary drivers include the strength of the marine layer over Puget Sound, which typically moderates overnight lows through increased cloud cover and humidity, alongside variable wind speeds and dew-point forecasts that influence radiative cooling. National Weather Service model runs highlight small differences in expected high-pressure influence versus any incoming frontal systems, producing a plausible range centered near historical mid-September averages of 50-55°F. Official station observations will resolve the market as new data releases refine these variables.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Seattle el 12 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Seattle el 12 de septiembre?
50-51°F 90%
47°F o menos 89%
52-53°F 49%
54-55°F 49%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 sep 2026
47°F o menos
89%
48-49°F
19%
50-51°F
90%
52-53°F
49%
54-55°F
49%
56-57°F
48%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66°F o más
<1%
50-51°F 90%
47°F o menos 89%
52-53°F 49%
54-55°F 49%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 sep 2026
47°F o menos
$0 Vol.
89%
48-49°F
$35 Vol.
19%
50-51°F
$102 Vol.
90%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
49%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
49%
56-57°F
$6 Vol.
48%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
<1%
66°F o más
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for Seattle's September 12 minimum temperature shows notable uncertainty, with closely matched probabilities across the 47°F-or-below bin and several 50s outcomes reflecting divergent short-term model guidance. Primary drivers include the strength of the marine layer over Puget Sound, which typically moderates overnight lows through increased cloud cover and humidity, alongside variable wind speeds and dew-point forecasts that influence radiative cooling. National Weather Service model runs highlight small differences in expected high-pressure influence versus any incoming frontal systems, producing a plausible range centered near historical mid-September averages of 50-55°F. Official station observations will resolve the market as new data releases refine these variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 10, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
Volumen
$143Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus for Seattle's September 12 minimum temperature shows notable uncertainty, with closely matched probabilities across the 47°F-or-below bin and several 50s outcomes reflecting divergent short-term model guidance. Primary drivers include the strength of the marine layer over Puget Sound, which typically moderates overnight lows through increased cloud cover and humidity, alongside variable wind speeds and dew-point forecasts that influence radiative cooling. National Weather Service model runs highlight small differences in expected high-pressure influence versus any incoming frontal systems, producing a plausible range centered near historical mid-September averages of 50-55°F. Official station observations will resolve the market as new data releases refine these variables.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$143Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 7:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus for Seattle's September 12 minimum temperature shows notable uncertainty, with closely matched probabilities across the 47°F-or-below bin and several 50s outcomes reflecting divergent short-term model guidance. Primary drivers include the strength of the marine layer over Puget Sound, which typically moderates overnight lows through increased cloud cover and humidity, alongside variable wind speeds and dew-point forecasts that influence radiative cooling. National Weather Service model runs highlight small differences in expected high-pressure influence versus any incoming frontal systems, producing a plausible range centered near historical mid-September averages of 50-55°F. Official station observations will resolve the market as new data releases refine these variables.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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