Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high of 18–19°C in Munich on September 10, driven by clearing skies after widespread rain on September 9, light easterly winds, and stable high pressure limiting daytime heating. These conditions follow a cooler-than-average period, with the seasonal baseline high near 20.5°C but current model runs showing suppressed maxima due to residual moisture and cloud cover. Trader consensus, reflected in the 44.5% implied probability for 19°C and 21.5% for 18°C, aligns closely with this guidance, while lower probabilities for 20°C or above account for potential under-forecasting if clearing occurs faster than expected. Official updates from agencies like the German Weather Service will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Múnich el 10 de septiembre?
19°C 45%
18°C 22%
20°C 18%
21°C 8%
13°C o menos
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
7%
18°C
22%
19°C
45%
20°C
18%
21°C
8%
22°C
2%
23°C o más
1%
19°C 45%
18°C 22%
20°C 18%
21°C 8%
13°C o menos
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
2%
17°C
7%
18°C
22%
19°C
45%
20°C
18%
21°C
8%
22°C
2%
23°C o más
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate a high of 18–19°C in Munich on September 10, driven by clearing skies after widespread rain on September 9, light easterly winds, and stable high pressure limiting daytime heating. These conditions follow a cooler-than-average period, with the seasonal baseline high near 20.5°C but current model runs showing suppressed maxima due to residual moisture and cloud cover. Trader consensus, reflected in the 44.5% implied probability for 19°C and 21.5% for 18°C, aligns closely with this guidance, while lower probabilities for 20°C or above account for potential under-forecasting if clearing occurs faster than expected. Official updates from agencies like the German Weather Service will refine these projections ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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