**Recent model consensus points to a mild overnight low in Munich around 10–12°C on September 10, driven by northeast winds and increasing cloud cover following a sharp cooldown.** A warm, sunny September 8 (highs near 30–32°C) gave way to widespread rain and thunderstorms on the 9th, with highs dropping to 20–22°C and stronger westerly flow. This sets up cooler, stable air advecting into the region for the 10th, when forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and global models show mostly cloudy conditions, light northeast winds, and overnight lows near 11–12°C (roughly 52–54°F). Ensemble spread and typical model uncertainty around boundary-layer processes—such as the degree of radiative cooling under variable cloud cover versus mixing from light winds—create the near-even split between the 6°C-or-below and 16°C-or-higher buckets. Historical September 10 lows average 10.8°C, with rare excursions below 5°C or above 15°C, but the current setup favors values clustered near the long-term mean unless a clearer or windier night develops. Fresh ECMWF and GFS runs over the next 24–48 hours, plus any updated National Meteorological Service guidance, will be the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied probabilities.