Recent forecasts from European models indicate the lowest temperature in Munich on September 9 will likely settle between 12–13°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and light rain that limited nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity near 80–90% and light southwesterly winds kept dew points elevated around 10°C, preventing sharper drops typical under clear skies. This aligns with the historical average low of 11°C for the date while current surface observations show overnight readings stabilizing near 11–12°C. Traders weigh these stable conditions against potential model revisions as the final minimum is recorded, with 12°C and 13°C outcomes commanding nearly equal implied probabilities due to narrow uncertainty in the temperature trajectory.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Múnich el 9 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Múnich el 9 de septiembre?
13°C 99.5%
8°C o menos <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$1,480 Vol.
$1,480 Vol.
9 sep 2026
8°C o menos
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Sí
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C o más
No
13°C 99.5%
8°C o menos <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$1,480 Vol.
$1,480 Vol.
9 sep 2026
8°C o menos
$113 Vol.
No
9°C
$121 Vol.
No
10°C
$65 Vol.
No
11°C
$30 Vol.
No
12°C
$30 Vol.
No
13°C
$47 Vol.
Sí
14°C
$20 Vol.
No
15°C
$143 Vol.
No
16°C
$50 Vol.
No
17°C
$801 Vol.
No
18°C o más
$60 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models indicate the lowest temperature in Munich on September 9 will likely settle between 12–13°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and light rain that limited nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity near 80–90% and light southwesterly winds kept dew points elevated around 10°C, preventing sharper drops typical under clear skies. This aligns with the historical average low of 11°C for the date while current surface observations show overnight readings stabilizing near 11–12°C. Traders weigh these stable conditions against potential model revisions as the final minimum is recorded, with 12°C and 13°C outcomes commanding nearly equal implied probabilities due to narrow uncertainty in the temperature trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volumen
$1,480Fecha de finalización
9 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European models indicate the lowest temperature in Munich on September 9 will likely settle between 12–13°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and light rain that limited nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity near 80–90% and light southwesterly winds kept dew points elevated around 10°C, preventing sharper drops typical under clear skies. This aligns with the historical average low of 11°C for the date while current surface observations show overnight readings stabilizing near 11–12°C. Traders weigh these stable conditions against potential model revisions as the final minimum is recorded, with 12°C and 13°C outcomes commanding nearly equal implied probabilities due to narrow uncertainty in the temperature trajectory.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,480Fecha de finalización
9 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Recent forecasts from European models indicate the lowest temperature in Munich on September 9 will likely settle between 12–13°C, driven by persistent cloud cover and light rain that limited nocturnal radiative cooling. High humidity near 80–90% and light southwesterly winds kept dew points elevated around 10°C, preventing sharper drops typical under clear skies. This aligns with the historical average low of 11°C for the date while current surface observations show overnight readings stabilizing near 11–12°C. Traders weigh these stable conditions against potential model revisions as the final minimum is recorded, with 12°C and 13°C outcomes commanding nearly equal implied probabilities due to narrow uncertainty in the temperature trajectory.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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