Traders assign overwhelming 99.9% implied probability to a 27°C high in Qingdao today because official forecasts and real-time observations from multiple meteorological sources converge on a peak near that threshold under stable, mostly cloudy conditions with light southerly flow. Hourly model runs and station data show temperatures climbing from morning lows around 20–22°C to afternoon maxima of 25–28°C before cooling, consistent with typical early-September coastal patterns and the absence of strong frontal systems or marine intrusions that could alter the range. The tight clustering of outcomes reflects low forecast uncertainty on resolution day, with only modest model spread. A shift to 26°C or 28°C remains possible if official station readings differ due to microclimate effects or slight timing variations in peak insolation, though current consensus data make those outcomes unlikely.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Qingdao el 12 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Qingdao el 12 de septiembre?
27°C 99.8%
30°C <1%
28°C <1%
21°C o menos <1%
$25,982 Vol.
$25,982 Vol.
12 sep 2026
21°C o menos
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C o más
<1%
27°C 99.8%
30°C <1%
28°C <1%
21°C o menos <1%
$25,982 Vol.
$25,982 Vol.
12 sep 2026
21°C o menos
$54 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$366 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$558 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,645 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,795 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$7,922 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$4,723 Vol.
100%
28°C
$2,424 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,015 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,692 Vol.
1%
31°C o más
$788 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign overwhelming 99.9% implied probability to a 27°C high in Qingdao today because official forecasts and real-time observations from multiple meteorological sources converge on a peak near that threshold under stable, mostly cloudy conditions with light southerly flow. Hourly model runs and station data show temperatures climbing from morning lows around 20–22°C to afternoon maxima of 25–28°C before cooling, consistent with typical early-September coastal patterns and the absence of strong frontal systems or marine intrusions that could alter the range. The tight clustering of outcomes reflects low forecast uncertainty on resolution day, with only modest model spread. A shift to 26°C or 28°C remains possible if official station readings differ due to microclimate effects or slight timing variations in peak insolation, though current consensus data make those outcomes unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$25,982Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign overwhelming 99.9% implied probability to a 27°C high in Qingdao today because official forecasts and real-time observations from multiple meteorological sources converge on a peak near that threshold under stable, mostly cloudy conditions with light southerly flow. Hourly model runs and station data show temperatures climbing from morning lows around 20–22°C to afternoon maxima of 25–28°C before cooling, consistent with typical early-September coastal patterns and the absence of strong frontal systems or marine intrusions that could alter the range. The tight clustering of outcomes reflects low forecast uncertainty on resolution day, with only modest model spread. A shift to 26°C or 28°C remains possible if official station readings differ due to microclimate effects or slight timing variations in peak insolation, though current consensus data make those outcomes unlikely.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$25,982Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign overwhelming 99.9% implied probability to a 27°C high in Qingdao today because official forecasts and real-time observations from multiple meteorological sources converge on a peak near that threshold under stable, mostly cloudy conditions with light southerly flow. Hourly model runs and station data show temperatures climbing from morning lows around 20–22°C to afternoon maxima of 25–28°C before cooling, consistent with typical early-September coastal patterns and the absence of strong frontal systems or marine intrusions that could alter the range. The tight clustering of outcomes reflects low forecast uncertainty on resolution day, with only modest model spread. A shift to 26°C or 28°C remains possible if official station readings differ due to microclimate effects or slight timing variations in peak insolation, though current consensus data make those outcomes unlikely.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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