**Current GFS and ECMWF guidance for Istanbul on September 12 points to a clear, stable pattern with northeasterly Etesian winds and minimal cloud cover supporting an afternoon maximum near 27–28 °C.** Recent model runs show only modest spread, with afternoon peaks clustering around 26–29 °C depending on exact wind strength and boundary-layer mixing; stronger NE flow tends to cap readings closer to 25–26 °C while lighter winds allow brief spikes toward 27–28 °C. Historical September climatology places the normal daily maximum near 25–26 °C, so the tight 25 °C / 26 °C market pricing reflects traders weighting the most probable outcomes within the narrow forecast envelope. Official Turkish Meteorological Service updates and the next high-resolution model cycles on September 11 will provide the final calibration before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 12 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Estambul el 12 de septiembre?
26°C 48%
25°C 44%
24°C 18%
27°C 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 sep 2026
22°C o menos
6%
23°C
6%
24°C
18%
25°C
44%
26°C
48%
27°C
17%
28°C
7%
29°C
4%
30°C
3%
31°C
3%
32°C o más
2%
26°C 48%
25°C 44%
24°C 18%
27°C 17%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 sep 2026
22°C o menos
$0 Vol.
6%
23°C
$0 Vol.
6%
24°C
$0 Vol.
18%
25°C
$19 Vol.
44%
26°C
$234 Vol.
48%
27°C
$0 Vol.
17%
28°C
$0 Vol.
7%
29°C
$0 Vol.
4%
30°C
$0 Vol.
3%
31°C
$0 Vol.
3%
32°C o más
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current GFS and ECMWF guidance for Istanbul on September 12 points to a clear, stable pattern with northeasterly Etesian winds and minimal cloud cover supporting an afternoon maximum near 27–28 °C.** Recent model runs show only modest spread, with afternoon peaks clustering around 26–29 °C depending on exact wind strength and boundary-layer mixing; stronger NE flow tends to cap readings closer to 25–26 °C while lighter winds allow brief spikes toward 27–28 °C. Historical September climatology places the normal daily maximum near 25–26 °C, so the tight 25 °C / 26 °C market pricing reflects traders weighting the most probable outcomes within the narrow forecast envelope. Official Turkish Meteorological Service updates and the next high-resolution model cycles on September 11 will provide the final calibration before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$253Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current GFS and ECMWF guidance for Istanbul on September 12 points to a clear, stable pattern with northeasterly Etesian winds and minimal cloud cover supporting an afternoon maximum near 27–28 °C.** Recent model runs show only modest spread, with afternoon peaks clustering around 26–29 °C depending on exact wind strength and boundary-layer mixing; stronger NE flow tends to cap readings closer to 25–26 °C while lighter winds allow brief spikes toward 27–28 °C. Historical September climatology places the normal daily maximum near 25–26 °C, so the tight 25 °C / 26 °C market pricing reflects traders weighting the most probable outcomes within the narrow forecast envelope. Official Turkish Meteorological Service updates and the next high-resolution model cycles on September 11 will provide the final calibration before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$253Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current GFS and ECMWF guidance for Istanbul on September 12 points to a clear, stable pattern with northeasterly Etesian winds and minimal cloud cover supporting an afternoon maximum near 27–28 °C.** Recent model runs show only modest spread, with afternoon peaks clustering around 26–29 °C depending on exact wind strength and boundary-layer mixing; stronger NE flow tends to cap readings closer to 25–26 °C while lighter winds allow brief spikes toward 27–28 °C. Historical September climatology places the normal daily maximum near 25–26 °C, so the tight 25 °C / 26 °C market pricing reflects traders weighting the most probable outcomes within the narrow forecast envelope. Official Turkish Meteorological Service updates and the next high-resolution model cycles on September 11 will provide the final calibration before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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