**Forecast models from sources like GFS and European centers indicate Moscow's maximum temperature on September 12 will likely peak near 16–17°C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow.** This follows a sharp cooldown after September 10's +24–26°C warmth, with a frontal passage and showers on the 11th advecting cooler maritime air. Persistent cloud cover will limit insolation and daytime heating, keeping values close to the 1991–2020 September 12 climatological average high of 17.1°C. Trader positioning, with 17°C at 40.5% and 16°C at 26%, aligns with this consensus while pricing in modest model spread and potential for slight under- or over-performance depending on exact cloud timing and wind strength. Updated runs closer to the date will refine the exact maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 12 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Moscú el 12 de septiembre?
17°C 43%
16°C 30%
15°C 13%
18°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 sep 2026
12°C o menos
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
4%
15°C
13%
16°C
30%
17°C
43%
18°C
13%
19°C
6%
20°C
4%
21°C
2%
22°C o más
<1%
17°C 43%
16°C 30%
15°C 13%
18°C 13%
NUEVO
NUEVO
12 sep 2026
12°C o menos
$122 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$15 Vol.
4%
14°C
$0 Vol.
4%
15°C
$0 Vol.
13%
16°C
$24 Vol.
30%
17°C
$217 Vol.
43%
18°C
$0 Vol.
13%
19°C
$8 Vol.
6%
20°C
$27 Vol.
4%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C o más
$116 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like GFS and European centers indicate Moscow's maximum temperature on September 12 will likely peak near 16–17°C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow.** This follows a sharp cooldown after September 10's +24–26°C warmth, with a frontal passage and showers on the 11th advecting cooler maritime air. Persistent cloud cover will limit insolation and daytime heating, keeping values close to the 1991–2020 September 12 climatological average high of 17.1°C.
Trader positioning, with 17°C at 40.5% and 16°C at 26%, aligns with this consensus while pricing in modest model spread and potential for slight under- or over-performance depending on exact cloud timing and wind strength. Updated runs closer to the date will refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$529Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources like GFS and European centers indicate Moscow's maximum temperature on September 12 will likely peak near 16–17°C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow.** This follows a sharp cooldown after September 10's +24–26°C warmth, with a frontal passage and showers on the 11th advecting cooler maritime air. Persistent cloud cover will limit insolation and daytime heating, keeping values close to the 1991–2020 September 12 climatological average high of 17.1°C.
Trader positioning, with 17°C at 40.5% and 16°C at 26%, aligns with this consensus while pricing in modest model spread and potential for slight under- or over-performance depending on exact cloud timing and wind strength. Updated runs closer to the date will refine the exact maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$529Fecha de finalización
12 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 10, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources like GFS and European centers indicate Moscow's maximum temperature on September 12 will likely peak near 16–17°C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow.** This follows a sharp cooldown after September 10's +24–26°C warmth, with a frontal passage and showers on the 11th advecting cooler maritime air. Persistent cloud cover will limit insolation and daytime heating, keeping values close to the 1991–2020 September 12 climatological average high of 17.1°C. Trader positioning, with 17°C at 40.5% and 16°C at 26%, aligns with this consensus while pricing in modest model spread and potential for slight under- or over-performance depending on exact cloud timing and wind strength. Updated runs closer to the date will refine the exact maximum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes