Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF positions 31–32 °C as the most probable maximum for Tel Aviv on September 11, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Historical September averages near 29–30 °C provide baseline context, while current runs show modest positive anomalies without major synoptic shifts or cooling advection. Trader emphasis on 32 °C reflects tight model clustering around this threshold, with lower probabilities for 33 °C or below reflecting residual uncertainty in peak afternoon heating and boundary-layer mixing. Official resolution will hinge on the Israel Meteorological Service’s standardized maximum reading; fresh model updates through September 10 will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 11 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más alta en Tel Aviv el 11 de septiembre?
32°C 70%
31°C 18%
33°C 10%
34°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 sep 2026
28°C o menos
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
18%
32°C
70%
33°C
10%
34°C
6%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C o más
1%
32°C 70%
31°C 18%
33°C 10%
34°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
11 sep 2026
28°C o menos
$83 Vol.
1%
29°C
$17 Vol.
2%
30°C
$0 Vol.
5%
31°C
$33 Vol.
18%
32°C
$188 Vol.
70%
33°C
$11 Vol.
10%
34°C
$0 Vol.
6%
35°C
$0 Vol.
2%
36°C
$57 Vol.
1%
37°C
$105 Vol.
1%
38°C o más
$105 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF positions 31–32 °C as the most probable maximum for Tel Aviv on September 11, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Historical September averages near 29–30 °C provide baseline context, while current runs show modest positive anomalies without major synoptic shifts or cooling advection. Trader emphasis on 32 °C reflects tight model clustering around this threshold, with lower probabilities for 33 °C or below reflecting residual uncertainty in peak afternoon heating and boundary-layer mixing. Official resolution will hinge on the Israel Meteorological Service’s standardized maximum reading; fresh model updates through September 10 will likely refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$598Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF positions 31–32 °C as the most probable maximum for Tel Aviv on September 11, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Historical September averages near 29–30 °C provide baseline context, while current runs show modest positive anomalies without major synoptic shifts or cooling advection. Trader emphasis on 32 °C reflects tight model clustering around this threshold, with lower probabilities for 33 °C or below reflecting residual uncertainty in peak afternoon heating and boundary-layer mixing. Official resolution will hinge on the Israel Meteorological Service’s standardized maximum reading; fresh model updates through September 10 will likely refine these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$598Fecha de finalización
11 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF positions 31–32 °C as the most probable maximum for Tel Aviv on September 11, driven by persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northwesterly flow typical of late-summer Mediterranean conditions. Historical September averages near 29–30 °C provide baseline context, while current runs show modest positive anomalies without major synoptic shifts or cooling advection. Trader emphasis on 32 °C reflects tight model clustering around this threshold, with lower probabilities for 33 °C or below reflecting residual uncertainty in peak afternoon heating and boundary-layer mixing. Official resolution will hinge on the Israel Meteorological Service’s standardized maximum reading; fresh model updates through September 10 will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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