**Clear skies and light northeast winds are supporting peak temperatures near 29–30°C in Zhengzhou on September 3, driving the close market split between those two outcomes.** Official forecasts from sources including WeatherBug (85°F/29°C), Yr.no, and Met Office (30°C) show consensus on sunny conditions with minimal cloud cover and dew points around 12–15°C, allowing efficient daytime heating under high pressure. Slight model differences in peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, and local wind gusts (5–9 mph) create the narrow uncertainty between 29°C and 30°C, while probabilities drop sharply above 31°C due to the absence of stronger warming factors. Historical September averages near 29°C further anchor trader expectations around these central values.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Zhengzhou el 3 de septiembre?
29°C 51%
30°C 45%
31°C 12%
32°C o más <1%
22°C o menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
37%
30°C
34%
31°C
17%
32°C o más
1%
29°C 51%
30°C 45%
31°C 12%
32°C o más <1%
22°C o menos
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
37%
30°C
34%
31°C
17%
32°C o más
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Clear skies and light northeast winds are supporting peak temperatures near 29–30°C in Zhengzhou on September 3, driving the close market split between those two outcomes.** Official forecasts from sources including WeatherBug (85°F/29°C), Yr.no, and Met Office (30°C) show consensus on sunny conditions with minimal cloud cover and dew points around 12–15°C, allowing efficient daytime heating under high pressure. Slight model differences in peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, and local wind gusts (5–9 mph) create the narrow uncertainty between 29°C and 30°C, while probabilities drop sharply above 31°C due to the absence of stronger warming factors. Historical September averages near 29°C further anchor trader expectations around these central values.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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