Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker’s unopposed primary win and double-digit polling lead over Republican nominee Darren Bailey reflect Illinois’s consistent Democratic lean in statewide races and Pritzker’s prior victories by wide margins. Traders price the Democrat outcome near 95 percent because Bailey’s 2022 loss, limited GOP primary support, and the state’s structural advantages for Democrats leave few paths for an upset three months before the November general election. Potential shifts could arise from late-breaking scandals, health developments, or unusually high independent vote shares that split the opposition, though current evidence shows no such catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de la elección del gobernador de Illinois
Ganador de la elección del gobernador de Illinois
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
96%
Republicano
6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$4,570 Vol.
96%
Republicano
$3,088 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker’s unopposed primary win and double-digit polling lead over Republican nominee Darren Bailey reflect Illinois’s consistent Democratic lean in statewide races and Pritzker’s prior victories by wide margins. Traders price the Democrat outcome near 95 percent because Bailey’s 2022 loss, limited GOP primary support, and the state’s structural advantages for Democrats leave few paths for an upset three months before the November general election. Potential shifts could arise from late-breaking scandals, health developments, or unusually high independent vote shares that split the opposition, though current evidence shows no such catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volumen
$7,658Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker’s unopposed primary win and double-digit polling lead over Republican nominee Darren Bailey reflect Illinois’s consistent Democratic lean in statewide races and Pritzker’s prior victories by wide margins. Traders price the Democrat outcome near 95 percent because Bailey’s 2022 loss, limited GOP primary support, and the state’s structural advantages for Democrats leave few paths for an upset three months before the November general election. Potential shifts could arise from late-breaking scandals, health developments, or unusually high independent vote shares that split the opposition, though current evidence shows no such catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$7,658Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker’s unopposed primary win and double-digit polling lead over Republican nominee Darren Bailey reflect Illinois’s consistent Democratic lean in statewide races and Pritzker’s prior victories by wide margins. Traders price the Democrat outcome near 95 percent because Bailey’s 2022 loss, limited GOP primary support, and the state’s structural advantages for Democrats leave few paths for an upset three months before the November general election. Potential shifts could arise from late-breaking scandals, health developments, or unusually high independent vote shares that split the opposition, though current evidence shows no such catalysts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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