Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to the state's longstanding Democratic lean, his unopposed primary victory, and consistent double-digit margins in prior elections, including a 2022 rematch win over the same Republican nominee, Darren Bailey. Recent polls show Pritzker ahead by 15-20 points or more, aligning with race ratings classifying the contest as safe or solid Democratic. Bailey secured the GOP nomination in March but faces structural challenges in a state where Democratic candidates routinely dominate urban and suburban areas. Trader consensus at over 90% for a Democratic outcome reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as unexpected scandals, sharp economic shifts, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap before the November vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de la elección del gobernador de Illinois
Ganador de la elección del gobernador de Illinois
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
92%
Republicano
8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$2,057 Vol.
92%
Republicano
$2,658 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to the state's longstanding Democratic lean, his unopposed primary victory, and consistent double-digit margins in prior elections, including a 2022 rematch win over the same Republican nominee, Darren Bailey. Recent polls show Pritzker ahead by 15-20 points or more, aligning with race ratings classifying the contest as safe or solid Democratic. Bailey secured the GOP nomination in March but faces structural challenges in a state where Democratic candidates routinely dominate urban and suburban areas. Trader consensus at over 90% for a Democratic outcome reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as unexpected scandals, sharp economic shifts, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap before the November vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volumen
$4,715Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to the state's longstanding Democratic lean, his unopposed primary victory, and consistent double-digit margins in prior elections, including a 2022 rematch win over the same Republican nominee, Darren Bailey. Recent polls show Pritzker ahead by 15-20 points or more, aligning with race ratings classifying the contest as safe or solid Democratic. Bailey secured the GOP nomination in March but faces structural challenges in a state where Democratic candidates routinely dominate urban and suburban areas. Trader consensus at over 90% for a Democratic outcome reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as unexpected scandals, sharp economic shifts, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap before the November vote.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$4,715Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker holds a commanding position in the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial race due to the state's longstanding Democratic lean, his unopposed primary victory, and consistent double-digit margins in prior elections, including a 2022 rematch win over the same Republican nominee, Darren Bailey. Recent polls show Pritzker ahead by 15-20 points or more, aligning with race ratings classifying the contest as safe or solid Democratic. Bailey secured the GOP nomination in March but faces structural challenges in a state where Democratic candidates routinely dominate urban and suburban areas. Trader consensus at over 90% for a Democratic outcome reflects these fundamentals, though late developments such as unexpected scandals, sharp economic shifts, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap before the November vote.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes