Skip to main content
icon for ¿Lecornu salió como PM francés por...?

¿Lecornu salió como PM francés por...?

icon for ¿Lecornu salió como PM francés por...?

¿Lecornu salió como PM francés por...?

$331,285 Vol.

31 jul 2026
Polymarket

$331,285 Vol.

Polymarket

July 31, 2026

$965 Vol.

1%

31 de diciembre de 2026

$10,271 Vol.

27%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's fragmented National Assembly, resulting from the 2024 snap elections, continues to constrain Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu's minority government, which lacks a stable majority and has survived multiple no-confidence motions since his September 2025 appointment and October reappointment. Lecornu has relied on Article 49.3 to enact the 2026 budget after prolonged deadlock and prior collapses of the Barnier and Bayrou governments over fiscal measures. Recent developments include his February 2026 agenda-setting on energy and defense priorities following budget passage, alongside April indications of parliamentary paralysis after municipal elections. With the 2027 presidential contest approaching and opposition from both the National Rally and La France Insoumise, traders monitor any new legislative tests or external shocks that could trigger further confidence votes or resignation pressures before scheduled deadlines.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$331,285
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 26, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's fragmented National Assembly, resulting from the 2024 snap elections, continues to constrain Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu's minority government, which lacks a stable majority and has survived multiple no-confidence motions since his September 2025 appointment and October reappointment. Lecornu has relied on Article 49.3 to enact the 2026 budget after prolonged deadlock and prior collapses of the Barnier and Bayrou governments over fiscal measures. Recent developments include his February 2026 agenda-setting on energy and defense priorities following budget passage, alongside April indications of parliamentary paralysis after municipal elections. With the 2027 presidential contest approaching and opposition from both the National Rally and La France Insoumise, traders monitor any new legislative tests or external shocks that could trigger further confidence votes or resignation pressures before scheduled deadlines.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$331,285
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 26, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Sébastien Lecornu ceases to be Prime Minister of France for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Sébastien Lecornu's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Sébastien Lecornu and the government of France; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Lecornu salió como PM francés por...?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 6 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "31 de diciembre de 2026" con 27%, seguido de "July 31, 2026" con 1%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 27¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 27% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Lecornu salió como PM francés por...?" ha generado $331.3K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 10, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Lecornu salió como PM francés por...?", explora los 6 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Lecornu salió como PM francés por...?" es "31 de diciembre de 2026" con 27%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 27% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "July 31, 2026" con 1%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Lecornu salió como PM francés por...?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.