French President Emmanuel Macron's second term ends in May 2027, with no constitutional mechanism for easy removal short of rare impeachment, which requires supermajorities in both parliamentary chambers and has never succeeded. Recent political turbulence, including multiple prime ministerial resignations amid no-confidence votes in late 2025 and early 2026, has not threatened his position, as these target the government rather than the presidency. On April 24, Macron affirmed he will exit politics entirely after 2027, signaling commitment to serve out his term amid a fragmented National Assembly lacking a majority. Traders reflect low odds of early departure via resignation or crisis, with upcoming 2026 budget implementation and potential legislative gridlock as key watchpoints, though historical precedent favors stability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$1,935,398 Vol.
30 jun 2026
30 de junio de 2026
2%
$1,935,398 Vol.
30 de junio de 2026
$343,554 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.French President Emmanuel Macron's second term ends in May 2027, with no constitutional mechanism for easy removal short of rare impeachment, which requires supermajorities in both parliamentary chambers and has never succeeded. Recent political turbulence, including multiple prime ministerial resignations amid no-confidence votes in late 2025 and early 2026, has not threatened his position, as these target the government rather than the presidency. On April 24, Macron affirmed he will exit politics entirely after 2027, signaling commitment to serve out his term amid a fragmented National Assembly lacking a majority. Traders reflect low odds of early departure via resignation or crisis, with upcoming 2026 budget implementation and potential legislative gridlock as key watchpoints, though historical precedent favors stability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ET
Volumen
$1,935,398Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between October 6, and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between January 2 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.French President Emmanuel Macron's second term ends in May 2027, with no constitutional mechanism for easy removal short of rare impeachment, which requires supermajorities in both parliamentary chambers and has never succeeded. Recent political turbulence, including multiple prime ministerial resignations amid no-confidence votes in late 2025 and early 2026, has not threatened his position, as these target the government rather than the presidency. On April 24, Macron affirmed he will exit politics entirely after 2027, signaling commitment to serve out his term amid a fragmented National Assembly lacking a majority. Traders reflect low odds of early departure via resignation or crisis, with upcoming 2026 budget implementation and potential legislative gridlock as key watchpoints, though historical precedent favors stability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Emmanuel Macron ceases to be President of France for any length of time between September 14, 2025, and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (inclusive). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Macron departs from office before the expiry date, the market should resolve immediately.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of France, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$1,935,398Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 14, 2025, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...French President Emmanuel Macron's second term ends in May 2027, with no constitutional mechanism for easy removal short of rare impeachment, which requires supermajorities in both parliamentary chambers and has never succeeded. Recent political turbulence, including multiple prime ministerial resignations amid no-confidence votes in late 2025 and early 2026, has not threatened his position, as these target the government rather than the presidency. On April 24, Macron affirmed he will exit politics entirely after 2027, signaling commitment to serve out his term amid a fragmented National Assembly lacking a majority. Traders reflect low odds of early departure via resignation or crisis, with upcoming 2026 budget implementation and potential legislative gridlock as key watchpoints, though historical precedent favors stability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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