Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and global models indicate Beijing's September 4 low will likely fall between 18–21°C, driven by southerly winds advecting warmer air amid a transition from clear to partly cloudy skies that moderates nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical September 4 averages near 18.6°C provide context, while current high-pressure patterns sustain elevated minima compared to seasonal norms. Model disagreements on cloud cover and wind shifts create the tight clustering around 18–20°C outcomes in trader sentiment, with any increase in overnight cloudiness or northerly flow potentially lowering readings toward 17°C or below. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Pekín el 4 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Pekín el 4 de septiembre?
17°C 95%
20°C 95%
15°C 88%
21°C 81%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 sep 2026
13°C o menos
28%
14°C
18%
15°C
88%
16°C
74%
17°C
95%
18°C
51%
19°C
51%
20°C
95%
21°C
81%
22°C
2%
23°C o más
33%
17°C 95%
20°C 95%
15°C 88%
21°C 81%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 sep 2026
13°C o menos
$149 Vol.
28%
14°C
$0 Vol.
18%
15°C
$0 Vol.
88%
16°C
$0 Vol.
74%
17°C
$0 Vol.
95%
18°C
$0 Vol.
51%
19°C
$0 Vol.
51%
20°C
$0 Vol.
95%
21°C
$0 Vol.
81%
22°C
$0 Vol.
2%
23°C o más
$201 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and global models indicate Beijing's September 4 low will likely fall between 18–21°C, driven by southerly winds advecting warmer air amid a transition from clear to partly cloudy skies that moderates nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical September 4 averages near 18.6°C provide context, while current high-pressure patterns sustain elevated minima compared to seasonal norms. Model disagreements on cloud cover and wind shifts create the tight clustering around 18–20°C outcomes in trader sentiment, with any increase in overnight cloudiness or northerly flow potentially lowering readings toward 17°C or below. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$350Fecha de finalización
4 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and global models indicate Beijing's September 4 low will likely fall between 18–21°C, driven by southerly winds advecting warmer air amid a transition from clear to partly cloudy skies that moderates nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical September 4 averages near 18.6°C provide context, while current high-pressure patterns sustain elevated minima compared to seasonal norms. Model disagreements on cloud cover and wind shifts create the tight clustering around 18–20°C outcomes in trader sentiment, with any increase in overnight cloudiness or northerly flow potentially lowering readings toward 17°C or below. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$350Fecha de finalización
4 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and global models indicate Beijing's September 4 low will likely fall between 18–21°C, driven by southerly winds advecting warmer air amid a transition from clear to partly cloudy skies that moderates nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical September 4 averages near 18.6°C provide context, while current high-pressure patterns sustain elevated minima compared to seasonal norms. Model disagreements on cloud cover and wind shifts create the tight clustering around 18–20°C outcomes in trader sentiment, with any increase in overnight cloudiness or northerly flow potentially lowering readings toward 17°C or below. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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