**Forecast models currently point to a nighttime low near 27–29°C for Chongqing on August 26, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with only scattered rain chances.** Chongqing’s August climatology features average lows around 26°C amid monsoon moisture that suppresses temperature drops; current conditions show dew points near 24–26°C and light winds, which further limit cooling. Small variations in cloud cover, localized thunderstorms, or urban heat-island effects could shift the observed minimum across several bins, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds around 24–28°C. Later in the week a stronger rain system is expected to bring clearer cooling, but that arrives after the resolution window. Traders are weighting both the baseline model consensus and the inherent short-term forecast uncertainty typical of humid subtropical nights.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Chongqing el 26 de agosto?
22°C or below 55%
32°C or higher 55%
24°C 48%
25°C 48%
22°C or below
55%
23°C
21%
24°C
48%
25°C
48%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
25%
29°C
25%
30°C
48%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
55%
22°C or below 55%
32°C or higher 55%
24°C 48%
25°C 48%
22°C or below
55%
23°C
21%
24°C
48%
25°C
48%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
25%
29°C
25%
30°C
48%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
55%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 24, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models currently point to a nighttime low near 27–29°C for Chongqing on August 26, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, high humidity, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with only scattered rain chances.** Chongqing’s August climatology features average lows around 26°C amid monsoon moisture that suppresses temperature drops; current conditions show dew points near 24–26°C and light winds, which further limit cooling. Small variations in cloud cover, localized thunderstorms, or urban heat-island effects could shift the observed minimum across several bins, explaining the closely matched market-implied odds around 24–28°C. Later in the week a stronger rain system is expected to bring clearer cooling, but that arrives after the resolution window. Traders are weighting both the baseline model consensus and the inherent short-term forecast uncertainty typical of humid subtropical nights.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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