Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a September 3 overnight low in Chongqing near 23°C under mostly clear skies, consistent with early-September climatology of 22–24°C lows amid transitioning monsoon patterns. Close market odds around 21–24°C reflect uncertainty in local factors such as radiative cooling rates over the Yangtze valley terrain, urban heat island effects from dense development, and minor variations in wind speeds that could enhance or suppress nocturnal mixing. Official guidance shows limited precipitation risk and stable high pressure, limiting sharp drops below 21°C, though any unexpected cloud cover or stronger advection could shift the minimum upward. Updated model runs and surface observations overnight will clarify resolution thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Chongqing el 3 de septiembre?
18°C or below 84%
21°C 46%
24°C 43%
28°C or higher 41.7%
18°C or below
84%
19°C
27%
20°C
27%
21°C
46%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
43%
25°C
12%
26°C
22%
27°C
40%
28°C or higher
42%
18°C or below 84%
21°C 46%
24°C 43%
28°C or higher 41.7%
18°C or below
84%
19°C
27%
20°C
27%
21°C
46%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
43%
25°C
12%
26°C
22%
27°C
40%
28°C or higher
42%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a September 3 overnight low in Chongqing near 23°C under mostly clear skies, consistent with early-September climatology of 22–24°C lows amid transitioning monsoon patterns. Close market odds around 21–24°C reflect uncertainty in local factors such as radiative cooling rates over the Yangtze valley terrain, urban heat island effects from dense development, and minor variations in wind speeds that could enhance or suppress nocturnal mixing. Official guidance shows limited precipitation risk and stable high pressure, limiting sharp drops below 21°C, though any unexpected cloud cover or stronger advection could shift the minimum upward. Updated model runs and surface observations overnight will clarify resolution thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes