Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from sources including ECMWF and regional models points to a Guangzhou minimum temperature near 26°C on September 26 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds. Persistent subtropical high pressure and southerly flow sustain above-average warmth, while elevated dew points reduce nocturnal radiative cooling compared with drier autumn patterns. Historical September lows average around 23°C, yet current steering patterns and limited frontal activity suppress significant drops. The near-even market split between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could alter overnight minima by several degrees before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Guangzhou el 26 de septiembre?
20°C o menos 99%
30°C o más 98%
25°C 40%
21°C 39%
20°C o menos
99%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
40%
26°C
21%
27°C
21%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C o más
98%
20°C o menos 99%
30°C o más 98%
25°C 40%
21°C 39%
20°C o menos
99%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
40%
26°C
21%
27°C
21%
28°C
39%
29°C
39%
30°C o más
98%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 24, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggResolver
0x69c47de9d...Recent numerical weather prediction consensus from sources including ECMWF and regional models points to a Guangzhou minimum temperature near 26°C on September 26 under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds. Persistent subtropical high pressure and southerly flow sustain above-average warmth, while elevated dew points reduce nocturnal radiative cooling compared with drier autumn patterns. Historical September lows average around 23°C, yet current steering patterns and limited frontal activity suppress significant drops. The near-even market split between sub-20°C and 30°C+ outcomes reflects uncertainty in exact cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing that could alter overnight minima by several degrees before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes