**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 25°C minimum on September 2, 2026, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory observations confirming this as the daily low amid typical early-September subtropical conditions.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and light rain limited overnight radiative cooling, holding temperatures above the climatological average minimum of ~24.7°C. Model guidance and real-time surface data from the observatory aligned on this threshold, with hourly readings bottoming at 25°C rather than dropping further. A clearer sky or stronger northerly flow could have enabled additional cooling toward 23–24°C, but stable steering patterns and moisture advection prevented that outcome. This skin-in-the-game consensus underscores the reliability of dense local monitoring networks for resolving such precise thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 2 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Hong Kong el 2 de septiembre?
25°C 99.8%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
$21,131 Vol.
$21,131 Vol.
2 sep 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.8%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
$21,131 Vol.
$21,131 Vol.
2 sep 2026
21°C or below
$304 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$487 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$3,305 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$2,767 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$5,042 Vol.
100%
26°C
$5,441 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,831 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$234 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$194 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$201 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$324 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 25°C minimum on September 2, 2026, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory observations confirming this as the daily low amid typical early-September subtropical conditions.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and light rain limited overnight radiative cooling, holding temperatures above the climatological average minimum of ~24.7°C. Model guidance and real-time surface data from the observatory aligned on this threshold, with hourly readings bottoming at 25°C rather than dropping further. A clearer sky or stronger northerly flow could have enabled additional cooling toward 23–24°C, but stable steering patterns and moisture advection prevented that outcome. This skin-in-the-game consensus underscores the reliability of dense local monitoring networks for resolving such precise thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$21,131Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 25°C minimum on September 2, 2026, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory observations confirming this as the daily low amid typical early-September subtropical conditions.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and light rain limited overnight radiative cooling, holding temperatures above the climatological average minimum of ~24.7°C. Model guidance and real-time surface data from the observatory aligned on this threshold, with hourly readings bottoming at 25°C rather than dropping further. A clearer sky or stronger northerly flow could have enabled additional cooling toward 23–24°C, but stable steering patterns and moisture advection prevented that outcome. This skin-in-the-game consensus underscores the reliability of dense local monitoring networks for resolving such precise thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$21,131Fecha de finalización
2 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors a 25°C minimum on September 2, 2026, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory observations confirming this as the daily low amid typical early-September subtropical conditions.** Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 80%, and light rain limited overnight radiative cooling, holding temperatures above the climatological average minimum of ~24.7°C. Model guidance and real-time surface data from the observatory aligned on this threshold, with hourly readings bottoming at 25°C rather than dropping further. A clearer sky or stronger northerly flow could have enabled additional cooling toward 23–24°C, but stable steering patterns and moisture advection prevented that outcome. This skin-in-the-game consensus underscores the reliability of dense local monitoring networks for resolving such precise thresholds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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