**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models point to an overnight low in Houston on August 27 in the upper 70s to low 80s, aligning with the market's leading 80-81°F bin at 41% implied probability.** Persistent hot, humid conditions under high pressure, with dew points near 70–75°F and light southerly winds, are limiting nighttime radiative cooling and keeping temperatures elevated. A 40–50% chance of showers or thunderstorms on Thursday may further suppress cooling by increasing cloud cover and moisture. These factors explain the clustering of probability around 78–85°F ranges (each 25–26%), while much lower or higher extremes remain below 8% as they would require atypical steering patterns or rapid model shifts not currently indicated. Updated NWS briefings and evening model runs on August 26 will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Houston el 27 de agosto?
¿Temperatura más baja en Houston el 27 de agosto?
80-81°F 41%
82-83°F 27%
78-79°F 26%
84-85°F 26%
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 ago 2026
73°F or below
8%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
26%
80-81°F
41%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
26%
86-87°F
5%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 41%
82-83°F 27%
78-79°F 26%
84-85°F 26%
NUEVO
NUEVO
27 ago 2026
73°F or below
$13 Vol.
8%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
26%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
26%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
26%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
41%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
27%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
26%
86-87°F
$27 Vol.
5%
88-89°F
$37 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$32 Vol.
1%
92°F or higher
$37 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models point to an overnight low in Houston on August 27 in the upper 70s to low 80s, aligning with the market's leading 80-81°F bin at 41% implied probability.**
Persistent hot, humid conditions under high pressure, with dew points near 70–75°F and light southerly winds, are limiting nighttime radiative cooling and keeping temperatures elevated. A 40–50% chance of showers or thunderstorms on Thursday may further suppress cooling by increasing cloud cover and moisture.
These factors explain the clustering of probability around 78–85°F ranges (each 25–26%), while much lower or higher extremes remain below 8% as they would require atypical steering patterns or rapid model shifts not currently indicated. Updated NWS briefings and evening model runs on August 26 will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volumen
$146Fecha de finalización
27 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models point to an overnight low in Houston on August 27 in the upper 70s to low 80s, aligning with the market's leading 80-81°F bin at 41% implied probability.**
Persistent hot, humid conditions under high pressure, with dew points near 70–75°F and light southerly winds, are limiting nighttime radiative cooling and keeping temperatures elevated. A 40–50% chance of showers or thunderstorms on Thursday may further suppress cooling by increasing cloud cover and moisture.
These factors explain the clustering of probability around 78–85°F ranges (each 25–26%), while much lower or higher extremes remain below 8% as they would require atypical steering patterns or rapid model shifts not currently indicated. Updated NWS briefings and evening model runs on August 26 will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$146Fecha de finalización
27 ago 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 25, 2026, 9:30 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and major models point to an overnight low in Houston on August 27 in the upper 70s to low 80s, aligning with the market's leading 80-81°F bin at 41% implied probability.** Persistent hot, humid conditions under high pressure, with dew points near 70–75°F and light southerly winds, are limiting nighttime radiative cooling and keeping temperatures elevated. A 40–50% chance of showers or thunderstorms on Thursday may further suppress cooling by increasing cloud cover and moisture. These factors explain the clustering of probability around 78–85°F ranges (each 25–26%), while much lower or higher extremes remain below 8% as they would require atypical steering patterns or rapid model shifts not currently indicated. Updated NWS briefings and evening model runs on August 26 will provide the next key data points ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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