Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate overnight lows for Istanbul on September 18 in the 16–19°C range, driven by northeasterly winds, moderate humidity around 60–80%, and mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation risk. Ensemble consensus and historical September baselines support this mid-range outcome, though slight model spreads in boundary-layer cooling and wind patterns create uncertainty around the precise minimum. The near-even market split between sub-14°C and 23°C+ tails reflects trader focus on tail risks from potential forecast revisions or localized microclimate effects, while the flat 20% distribution across 14–22°C bins captures the core expected range amid ongoing data updates from regional agencies.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Estambul el 18 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Estambul el 18 de septiembre?
13°C o menos 90%
23°C o más 90%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 sep 2026
13°C o menos
90%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
40%
18°C
22%
19°C
22%
20°C
22%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C o más
90%
13°C o menos 90%
23°C o más 90%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 sep 2026
13°C o menos
$0 Vol.
90%
14°C
$0 Vol.
40%
15°C
$0 Vol.
40%
16°C
$0 Vol.
40%
17°C
$0 Vol.
40%
18°C
$0 Vol.
22%
19°C
$0 Vol.
22%
20°C
$0 Vol.
22%
21°C
$0 Vol.
40%
22°C
$0 Vol.
40%
23°C o más
$0 Vol.
90%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate overnight lows for Istanbul on September 18 in the 16–19°C range, driven by northeasterly winds, moderate humidity around 60–80%, and mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation risk. Ensemble consensus and historical September baselines support this mid-range outcome, though slight model spreads in boundary-layer cooling and wind patterns create uncertainty around the precise minimum. The near-even market split between sub-14°C and 23°C+ tails reflects trader focus on tail risks from potential forecast revisions or localized microclimate effects, while the flat 20% distribution across 14–22°C bins captures the core expected range amid ongoing data updates from regional agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate overnight lows for Istanbul on September 18 in the 16–19°C range, driven by northeasterly winds, moderate humidity around 60–80%, and mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation risk. Ensemble consensus and historical September baselines support this mid-range outcome, though slight model spreads in boundary-layer cooling and wind patterns create uncertainty around the precise minimum. The near-even market split between sub-14°C and 23°C+ tails reflects trader focus on tail risks from potential forecast revisions or localized microclimate effects, while the flat 20% distribution across 14–22°C bins captures the core expected range amid ongoing data updates from regional agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate overnight lows for Istanbul on September 18 in the 16–19°C range, driven by northeasterly winds, moderate humidity around 60–80%, and mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with minimal precipitation risk. Ensemble consensus and historical September baselines support this mid-range outcome, though slight model spreads in boundary-layer cooling and wind patterns create uncertainty around the precise minimum. The near-even market split between sub-14°C and 23°C+ tails reflects trader focus on tail risks from potential forecast revisions or localized microclimate effects, while the flat 20% distribution across 14–22°C bins captures the core expected range amid ongoing data updates from regional agencies.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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