Current ensemble forecasts from global models indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Jeddah on September 19 will likely fall between 28–31°C, driven by high humidity from Red Sea moisture, light variable winds, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly clear skies. This narrow range explains the closely matched market-implied odds around 31°C and higher thresholds, as small shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical September minima average near 27–28°C, though recent seasonal warmth supports trader focus on 30°C-plus outcomes. Official observations from local meteorological stations will determine resolution, with final model runs and satellite data due in the next 48 hours providing the last key inputs before the date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Jeddah el 19 de septiembre?
25°C o menos 100%
35°C o más 78%
31°C 52%
26°C 39%
25°C o menos
100%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
38%
30°C
24%
31°C
46%
32°C
38%
33°C
38%
34°C
32%
35°C o más
78%
25°C o menos 100%
35°C o más 78%
31°C 52%
26°C 39%
25°C o menos
100%
26°C
39%
27°C
39%
28°C
39%
29°C
38%
30°C
24%
31°C
46%
32°C
38%
33°C
38%
34°C
32%
35°C o más
78%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from global models indicate overnight minimum temperatures in Jeddah on September 19 will likely fall between 28–31°C, driven by high humidity from Red Sea moisture, light variable winds, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under mostly clear skies. This narrow range explains the closely matched market-implied odds around 31°C and higher thresholds, as small shifts in cloud cover or wind could alter the exact low by 1–2°C. Historical September minima average near 27–28°C, though recent seasonal warmth supports trader focus on 30°C-plus outcomes. Official observations from local meteorological stations will determine resolution, with final model runs and satellite data due in the next 48 hours providing the last key inputs before the date.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes