Recent model consensus from the Met Office and European ensembles points to a southwesterly airflow across southern England on September 2, advecting mild maritime air with limited radiational cooling under persistent cloud cover. This setup favors overnight minima of 15–16 °C, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those levels. Westerly steering around northern low pressure has maintained near-normal early-autumn temperatures, while the absence of clear anticyclonic conditions or northerly incursions reduces the chance of sub-14 °C readings. Updated guidance through the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that ultimately determine the precise minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Londres el 2 de septiembre?
16°C 40%
15°C 39%
18°C 36%
20°C o más 26%
10°C o menos
23%
11°C
20%
12°C
21%
13°C
25%
14°C
20%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
21%
18°C
36%
19°C
2%
20°C o más
26%
16°C 40%
15°C 39%
18°C 36%
20°C o más 26%
10°C o menos
23%
11°C
20%
12°C
21%
13°C
25%
14°C
20%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
21%
18°C
36%
19°C
2%
20°C o más
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Aug 31, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from the Met Office and European ensembles points to a southwesterly airflow across southern England on September 2, advecting mild maritime air with limited radiational cooling under persistent cloud cover. This setup favors overnight minima of 15–16 °C, aligning with the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around those levels. Westerly steering around northern low pressure has maintained near-normal early-autumn temperatures, while the absence of clear anticyclonic conditions or northerly incursions reduces the chance of sub-14 °C readings. Updated guidance through the next 48 hours will refine boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds that ultimately determine the precise minimum.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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