Clear skies, high pressure near 1022-1023 hPa, and light northeasterly winds are sustaining a warm, dry air mass over central Spain, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping the September 3 minimum in Madrid near 20-22°C according to AEMET and GFS guidance. Recent daytime highs of 36-38°C have left residual heat in the urban boundary layer, while low dew points around 10-11°C and minimal cloud cover favor modest overnight drops rather than sharp cooling. Model consensus clusters the low near 21°C, with slight spreads arising from minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind speed that could push readings a degree lower or hold them near 23-25°C. Historical September averages near 17.5°C underscore the current anomaly, though traders weigh the stable synoptic pattern against any last-minute forecast shifts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más baja en Madrid el 3 de septiembre?
¿La temperatura más baja en Madrid el 3 de septiembre?
25°C 90%
22°C 86%
23°C 86%
18°C or below 48%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 sep 2026
18°C or below
26%
19°C
47%
20°C
45%
21°C
45%
22°C
86%
23°C
86%
24°C
2%
25°C
90%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C or higher
42%
25°C 90%
22°C 86%
23°C 86%
18°C or below 48%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 sep 2026
18°C or below
$34 Vol.
26%
19°C
$0 Vol.
47%
20°C
$0 Vol.
45%
21°C
$0 Vol.
45%
22°C
$5 Vol.
86%
23°C
$5 Vol.
86%
24°C
$5 Vol.
2%
25°C
$5 Vol.
90%
26°C
$5 Vol.
2%
27°C
$5 Vol.
2%
28°C or higher
$5 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies, high pressure near 1022-1023 hPa, and light northeasterly winds are sustaining a warm, dry air mass over central Spain, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping the September 3 minimum in Madrid near 20-22°C according to AEMET and GFS guidance. Recent daytime highs of 36-38°C have left residual heat in the urban boundary layer, while low dew points around 10-11°C and minimal cloud cover favor modest overnight drops rather than sharp cooling. Model consensus clusters the low near 21°C, with slight spreads arising from minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind speed that could push readings a degree lower or hold them near 23-25°C. Historical September averages near 17.5°C underscore the current anomaly, though traders weigh the stable synoptic pattern against any last-minute forecast shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$69Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Clear skies, high pressure near 1022-1023 hPa, and light northeasterly winds are sustaining a warm, dry air mass over central Spain, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping the September 3 minimum in Madrid near 20-22°C according to AEMET and GFS guidance. Recent daytime highs of 36-38°C have left residual heat in the urban boundary layer, while low dew points around 10-11°C and minimal cloud cover favor modest overnight drops rather than sharp cooling. Model consensus clusters the low near 21°C, with slight spreads arising from minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind speed that could push readings a degree lower or hold them near 23-25°C. Historical September averages near 17.5°C underscore the current anomaly, though traders weigh the stable synoptic pattern against any last-minute forecast shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$69Fecha de finalización
3 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Clear skies, high pressure near 1022-1023 hPa, and light northeasterly winds are sustaining a warm, dry air mass over central Spain, limiting nocturnal radiative cooling and keeping the September 3 minimum in Madrid near 20-22°C according to AEMET and GFS guidance. Recent daytime highs of 36-38°C have left residual heat in the urban boundary layer, while low dew points around 10-11°C and minimal cloud cover favor modest overnight drops rather than sharp cooling. Model consensus clusters the low near 21°C, with slight spreads arising from minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and wind speed that could push readings a degree lower or hold them near 23-25°C. Historical September averages near 17.5°C underscore the current anomaly, though traders weigh the stable synoptic pattern against any last-minute forecast shifts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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