Recent ECMWF and GFS model runs point to a daily minimum near 18°C in Milan on September 18 amid persistent cloud cover, light easterly advection, and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. High humidity near 80% and weak pressure gradients further suppress temperature drops, while September climatology averages lows around 16°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with most members clustered between 16–20°C, explaining the near-even market split between 22°C-or-higher and 12°C-or-below outcomes alongside elevated probabilities for 17–18°C. Updated model guidance and surface observations through tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Temperatura más baja en Milán el 18 de septiembre?
¿Temperatura más baja en Milán el 18 de septiembre?
12°C o menos 86%
22°C o más 86%
20°C 39%
19°C 38%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 sep 2026
12°C o menos
86%
13°C
37%
14°C
37%
15°C
37%
16°C
37%
17°C
23%
18°C
25%
19°C
38%
20°C
39%
21°C
37%
22°C o más
86%
12°C o menos 86%
22°C o más 86%
20°C 39%
19°C 38%
NUEVO
NUEVO
18 sep 2026
12°C o menos
$0 Vol.
86%
13°C
$0 Vol.
37%
14°C
$0 Vol.
37%
15°C
$0 Vol.
37%
16°C
$0 Vol.
37%
17°C
$0 Vol.
23%
18°C
$0 Vol.
25%
19°C
$0 Vol.
38%
20°C
$0 Vol.
39%
21°C
$0 Vol.
37%
22°C o más
$0 Vol.
86%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and GFS model runs point to a daily minimum near 18°C in Milan on September 18 amid persistent cloud cover, light easterly advection, and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. High humidity near 80% and weak pressure gradients further suppress temperature drops, while September climatology averages lows around 16°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with most members clustered between 16–20°C, explaining the near-even market split between 22°C-or-higher and 12°C-or-below outcomes alongside elevated probabilities for 17–18°C. Updated model guidance and surface observations through tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercado abierto: Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and GFS model runs point to a daily minimum near 18°C in Milan on September 18 amid persistent cloud cover, light easterly advection, and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. High humidity near 80% and weak pressure gradients further suppress temperature drops, while September climatology averages lows around 16°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with most members clustered between 16–20°C, explaining the near-even market split between 22°C-or-higher and 12°C-or-below outcomes alongside elevated probabilities for 17–18°C. Updated model guidance and surface observations through tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ECMWF and GFS model runs point to a daily minimum near 18°C in Milan on September 18 amid persistent cloud cover, light easterly advection, and scattered showers that limit overnight radiative cooling. High humidity near 80% and weak pressure gradients further suppress temperature drops, while September climatology averages lows around 16°C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, with most members clustered between 16–20°C, explaining the near-even market split between 22°C-or-higher and 12°C-or-below outcomes alongside elevated probabilities for 17–18°C. Updated model guidance and surface observations through tonight will refine the exact minimum before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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